On Wednesday 26 August 2026, Alavés play Villarreal in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Alavés vs Villarreal: Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -370 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Alavés vs Villarreal: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Alavés prepares to host Villarreal, the stage is set for a match brimming with potential goal-scoring opportunities. Villarreal’s recent away form has been less than stellar, managing just one win in their last five outings, but they've still managed to score an average of 1.2 goals per game. Alavés, on the other hand, has shown they can find the back of the net, with recent matches indicating a trend toward a higher scoreline. Both teams have been involved in games featuring at least two goals recently, with Villarreal conceding 1.6 goals per away match and averaging an xG of 2.2 from their last five. Considering Villarreal’s attacking prowess and Alavés’ home advantage, expecting at least two goals feels like a safe bet. With only needing two goals for a cash-out, the over on 1.5 goals seems like a tantalizing, realistic option for Friday night’s showdown.

Alavés vs Villarreal: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Alavés prepares to host Villarreal, the stage is set for a match that could see corners flying. Villarreal’s recent away form has been shaky, with only one win in their last five outings. However, they’ve maintained an aggressive approach, averaging over 11 shots per game recently, which often leads to corner opportunities. Alavés, on the other hand, is no stranger to pushing the pace at home, and with both teams likely to engage in a high-tempo match, we can expect plenty of attacking play. The underlying data is favorable; Villarreal's recent away matches have seen them concede an average of 1.6 corners per game, while their own corner tally hovers around 1.6 as well. This trend hints at a game where the corner count could easily surpass 8.5, making the "Over" a compelling play as both teams chase crucial points in La Liga.

That is how our model reads Alavés v Villarreal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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