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Model picks & player props
New York Liberty
VS
Los Angeles Sparks

New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 16, 10:07AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Indoor
Wed 29 Jul 2026, 2:03AM
11
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Los Angeles Sparks 5.5 (Spread)
The model graded 61 markets for New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 63.2%, fair odds 2.00, book price -108, model edge +11.4%. Tip-off Wed 29 Jul 2026, 2:03AM at Crypto.com Arena.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Los Angeles Sparks 5.5 · $100 returned $185

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 533 of 691 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 15
Connecticut Sun 8
New York Liberty @ Connecticut Sun
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $187
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Los Angeles Sparks
+5.5
-108
+ 10 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles SparksspreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles SparksspreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles SparksspreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York LibertyspreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Libertyh2hThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Libertyalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Libertyalternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Liberty

  • Satou Sabally FOut
  • Sabrina Ionescu GOut
  • Leonie Fiebich FOut

Los Angeles Sparks

  • Cameron Brink FOut
  • Monique Akoa Makani GOut
Availability updated Aug 16, 6:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ariel Atkins player_assists_alternate
Dearica Hamby player_rebounds_alternate
Jonquel Jones player_rebounds_alternate
Dearica Hamby player_rebounds
Nneka Ogwumike player_points

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New York Liberty @ Los Angeles Sparks — what the model found

Our model graded 61 betting markets for New York Liberty at Los Angeles Sparks — 11 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

11
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 61 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 60 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks — recent results

Los Angeles Sparks have won 1 of their last 5 games; New York Liberty have won 4 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Sparks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L70–80WSHAway
L81–85NYAway
L87–94PHXHome
L78–84GSHome
W89–82MINAway
New York Liberty — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W82–75CONAway
W85–81LAHome
L92–106INDAway
W111–71LVHome
W92–86SEAHome

New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Los Angeles Sparks won 1, New York Liberty won 2.

DateLos Angeles SparksNew York LibertyWinner
Aug 148185New York Liberty
Jul 29109113New York Liberty
Jun 229897Los Angeles Sparks

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Sparks
PlayerStatus
Cameron Brink FOUT
Monique Akoa Makani GOUT
New York Liberty
PlayerStatus
Satou Sabally FOUT
Sabrina Ionescu GOUT
Leonie Fiebich FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Liberty @ Los Angeles Sparks — model preview

Model-built preview and betting picks for New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks: our probability on every market, the value read, and where the edge sits.

The model's read: Los Angeles Sparks spreads at 1.85 — we make it a 61% chance (+0.1% edge on the price).

Player angles the model likes:

  • Nneka Ogwumike Under 17.5 points at 2.00 — 83% by our numbers
  • Breanna Stewart Under 21.5 points at 1.94 — 82% by our numbers
  • Nneka Ogwumike Under 8.5 rebounds at 1.96 — 81% by our numbers

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
7
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
29 Jul 26 Moneyline New York Liberty ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Spread New York Liberty +0.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread New York Liberty +1.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread New York Liberty +2.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Sparks +4.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Sparks +5.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Sparks +5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Liberty vs Sparks, or as Sparks vs Liberty. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 29 July 2026 at Crypto.com Arena. The model has generated 11 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
New York Liberty 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Aug 2026Los Angeles Sparks @ New York Liberty85–81New York Liberty
29 Jul 2026New York Liberty @ Los Angeles Sparks109–113New York Liberty
22 Jun 2026New York Liberty @ Los Angeles Sparks98–97Los Angeles Sparks
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