Here are our NFL picks for Wednesday 21 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New Orleans Saints play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A.J. Brown (NE) Under 4.5 Receptions (+121)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL on Friday 23 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is A.J. Brown (NE) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at +121 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Germie Bernard (PIT) Under 4.5 Receptions (+114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New Orleans Saints play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Germie Bernard (PIT) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at +114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL on Friday 23 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 18.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL on Friday 23 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 18.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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