Here are our MLS picks for Tuesday 29 September 2026. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Robert Voloder (New York Red Bulls) Over 0.5 Shots, priced at +230 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Robert Voloder (New York Red Bulls) Over 0.5 Shots (+230)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the New York Red Bulls gear up to face St. Louis City SC, all eyes should be on Robert Voloder for a potential over 0.5 shots. While recent stats may raise eyebrows—his last five games averaging less than a shot—there’s a compelling narrative here. Voloder thrives at home, where he’s shown a slight uptick in activity, averaging 0.2 shots. With St. Louis’ defense often stretched thin against aggressive attacks, this could be Voloder’s opportunity to break free. The Red Bulls playstyle encourages wingbacks to push forward, and with the home crowd behind them, the energy will be electric. Even if he hasn’t found the net yet, the model indicates a favorable edge here, suggesting he’ll find himself in positions to shoot more often than not. In this match-up, Voloder could very well surprise us and hit that over with a couple of crisp attempts.
Robert Voloder (New York Red Bulls) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+850)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
When you look at Robert Voloder’s recent performances, it’s easy to overlook his potential impact in the New York Red Bulls’ clash with St. Louis City SC. Although he hasn’t been a prolific shooter lately, averaging just 0.2 shots on target at home, the dynamics of this matchup could be just what he needs to break through. The Red Bulls are known for their aggressive attacking style, and with the home support behind them, there’s a good chance Voloder will find opportunities to test the keeper. St. Louis City’s defense has shown vulnerabilities, and with the implied probability of him hitting the target sitting at a surprisingly low 10.5%, there’s value in the Over 0.5 shots on target bet. If he manages to find just one decent chance, we could see this bet cash in, making it an intriguing angle in an unpredictable fixture.
Robert Voloder (New York Red Bulls) Over 1.5 Shots (+1800)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the New York Red Bulls prepare to take on St. Louis City SC, Robert Voloder emerges as an intriguing candidate to hit the Over on 1.5 total shots. While his recent form may raise eyebrows—averaging just 0.2 shots at home—there's more to the story. St. Louis City has shown vulnerabilities defensively, especially away from home, which could provide Voloder with the perfect platform to find his rhythm. With the Red Bulls needing a boost in attack, expect Voloder to seize any opportunities that come his way. He’s hungry for a breakout performance, especially in front of the home crowd. While he hasn’t hit this mark lately, the stars might align for him this time. Given the pace and intensity of the MLS, a couple of chances on goal seem well within reach. So, keep an eye on Voloder to shake off the rust and make an impact when it matters most.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
In the upcoming clash between Seattle Sounders FC and Sporting Kansas City, Emir Karic presents an interesting opportunity in the Total Shots market. While his recent form shows a modest average of just 0.2 shots overall and none away, this matchup could be a catalyst for change. Seattle's defensive structure is known for allowing shots from the flanks, which plays right into Karic’s style as he ventures forward. With a lower hit rate away from home, the odds seem stacked against him, but there's an opportunity here. A bit of luck combined with an aggressive game plan could see him break out of his shooting slump. The Sounders will aim to dominate possession, which could force Kansas City to transition quickly, giving Karic the chance to capitalize on counter-attacks. Betting on him to go over 1.5 shots feels like a savvy play; sometimes, it’s in the most unexpected moments that players find their rhythm.
Emir Karic (Sporting Kansas City) Over 0.5 Shots (+145)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Emir Karic is an intriguing choice to hit over 0.5 total shots in this matchup against the Seattle Sounders. While his recent form shows modest numbers—averaging just 0.2 shots overall and none away—there's a glimmer of opportunity here. He’s on a hit streak, which suggests he’s finding his rhythm. Playing away, Karic might not have been firing on all cylinders just yet, but the Sounders have shown vulnerabilities in defense this season, especially against teams that press. If he finds a pocket of space or receives a well-timed pass, he could easily register that crucial shot. Moreover, with Kansas City likely pushing for an attacking approach, he might see more opportunities to capitalize on defensive lapses. The odds suggest there’s value here, making Karic a compelling player prop to consider for the match.
That is the model's read on today's MLS card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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