Here are our Tennis picks for Thursday 24 September 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Elise Mertens to win the match, priced at -192 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Elise Mertens to win the match (-192)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Elise Mertens faces Maja Chwalinska at Singapore Open on Friday 25 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Elise Mertens wins the match. It was priced at -192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.20 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Elise Mertens presents strong value at 1.52 against Maja Chwalinska, particularly considering her recent form and overall win rate. Mertens boasts an impressive 80% win rate over her last five matches, indicating strong competitive performance. In contrast, Chwalinska holds a lower win rate of 60% over her last ten matches, demonstrating less consistency. In terms of serve performance, while specific percentages for both players on this surface are absent, Mertens is known for her solid serve, often outperforming opponents in pressure situations. Chwalinska has a higher opponent's first serve percentage at 71% and a 53% success rate on first points, which suggests vulnerability when facing Mertens. Overall, Mertens’ superior form, combined with her ability to handle pressure points effectively, makes her the better pick in this matchup.

Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala: Tatiana Prozorova to win the match (+1142)

Odds available at Pinnacle at time of publishing

Tatiana Prozorova faces Alexandra Eala at Singapore Open on Thursday 24 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Tatiana Prozorova wins the match. It was priced at +1142 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $124.20 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. Despite both players showing low serve metrics, Prozorova's recent form is noteworthy, boasting a 40% win rate in her last five matches and a 50% rate in the last ten. While specific serving stats are absent, Prozorova's ability to win matches more frequently than Eala suggests she might handle pressure points better, especially given the tournament context. Eala's performance lacks significant recent form metrics, which may expose her weaknesses under pressure. Thus, backing Prozorova as an underdog is a strategic play, particularly in the unpredictable nature of early-round matchups.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.