Here are our Tennis picks for Thursday 24 September 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Elise Mertens to win the match, priced at -182 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Elise Mertens to win the match (-182)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Elise Mertens faces Maja Chwalinska at Singapore Open on Friday 25 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Elise Mertens wins the match. It was priced at -182 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Elise Mertens is the value pick at 1.55 against Maja Chwalinska, boasting a stronger recent win rate of 80% over her last five matches compared to Chwalinska's lower performance. While both players have similar serve statistics, Mertens' overall form indicates a superior ability to win pressure points, especially given her opponent's struggle in key metrics: Chwalinska has only managed a 50% break point save rate and a 22% win rate on second serve points over her last five matches. Mertens' consistent form and ability to capitalize on opponents' weaknesses suggest a higher likelihood of securing the win. Thus, the combination of Mertens’ solid win rate and Chwalinska’s serving vulnerabilities make this a strong pick.

Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala: Alexandra Eala to win the match (-400)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Tatiana Prozorova faces Alexandra Eala at Singapore Open on Thursday 24 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alexandra Eala wins the match. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Alexandra Eala is the value pick at 1.25 against Tatiana Prozorova due to her superior recent form and performance indicators. Eala boasts a win rate of 80% over her last 10 matches, significantly outperforming Prozorova's 50% win rate. Although specific serve stats are absent, Eala's higher overall win rate suggests she has been effective on serve and return, crucial against opponents under pressure. The lack of detailed serve statistics for both players is mitigated by Eala’s overall form and experience, providing a better likelihood of her winning key points. Overall, Eala’s recent form and ability to win under pressure make her the stronger contender.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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