Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska Prediction & Picks: Stat-Based Insights

Elise Mertens faces Maja Chwalinska at Singapore Open on Friday 25 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Elise Mertens wins the match. It was priced at -192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.20 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Elise Mertens is the value pick at 1.52 against Maja Chwalinska, backed by superior recent form and serve performance. Mertens boasts an impressive 80% win rate over her last five matches, indicating strong overall form. In contrast, Chwalinska has struggled, reflected in her opponent’s stats where Mertens’ opponents have a 71% first serve percentage, illustrating the pressure Mertens can apply. Chwalinska’s serve stats are weak; her last five opponents have only managed to win 44% of their serve points, and her second serve points won rate is just 22%. Mertens, with her ability to capitalize on break points, coupled with Chwalinska’s 50% break point save percentage, suggests that Mertens will exploit any opportunities effectively. Overall, Mertens' recent dominance and superior serving metrics position her as the clear value side in this matchup.

Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Elise Mertens -3.5 Game Handicap (-111)

Elise Mertens has been playing well lately and looks strong heading into this match against Maja Chwalinska. With her recent form, betting on Mertens to win by at least four games feels like a smart choice. Maja can be tough, but the numbers show Mertens has a good chance to cover the -3.5 handicap. The biggest risk here is that Chwalinska could surprise us with a good performance. Still, Mertens has the skills and momentum to take control of the match.

Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Under 21 Total Games (-108)

Elise Mertens is taking on Maja Chwalinska, and this matchup could lead to a tight contest. Mertens has a solid game that can keep points short, and Chwalinska is known for her strong serving. This makes it likely that they won't drag out too many games, which is why betting on under 21 total games makes sense here. Our numbers give this bet a good chance, as they expect a combined total just over 21. However, Chwalinska's ability to serve can surprise, and that's the main risk. If she gets on a roll, the total could sneak past our pick. Still, it feels like a smart choice for this match.

Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Elise Mertens Set 1 Winner (-189)

Elise Mertens has been playing really well lately, showing strong skills and confidence on the court. She's got a good chance to take the first set against Maja Chwalinska, who might struggle against her experience. One concrete risk here is that Maja can be unpredictable at times and put up a fight. Still, with Mertens' recent form and our numbers rating this as a good chance, picking her to win the first set makes sense.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.