Today's EPL Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds (Sunday 10/25 EPL Slate)

When Udinese hosts AC Milan, the trends tell an intriguing story. Despite a rocky home record, Udinese's recent performances have been more competitive than the numbers suggest. In their last five matches, they've faced tough opponents and averaged a respectable 15.4 shots per game at home, even if they struggled to convert those chances into goals. On the flip side, AC Milan has shown vulnerability, particularly away from home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. They also haven't been as dominant as their historical record against Udinese might imply, with the latter winning once in their last five meetings. With Udinese needing to turn the tide at home, taking them with a 1.5 handicap feels like a calculated risk, especially considering their determination to capitalize on Milan's defensive lapses. Expect a spirited performance from Udinese, making this bet a compelling play.

Sevilla vs CA Osasuna: Over 9.5 Total Corners (+154)

As Sevilla faces Osasuna, the corners market is ripe for action, particularly with a line of over 9.5. Sevilla's recent home form has seen them average a whopping 13.6 shots per game, which, coupled with their tendency to push forward aggressively, often leads to corner opportunities. With a corner average of 2.4 at home and a high foul count of 15, we can expect a frantic pace that frequently results in corners. Osasuna, known for their resilient defense and counter-attacking style, will likely contribute to this corner count as they attempt to absorb pressure and launch their own attacks. Historically, these two teams have played closely contested matches, averaging a combined corner count that suggests they exceed this line. Given Sevilla's current trajectory and their need for points, expect both teams to propel the corner tally into double digits.

Sevilla vs CA Osasuna: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-110)

As Sevilla prepares to host CA Osasuna, the stage is set for a corner-kick bonanza. Sevilla's recent home games have seen them average over 13 shots, which naturally leads to a higher corner count, and with their tendency to push forward, you can expect them to pressure Osasuna's defense consistently. Despite a mixed home record, their aggressive playstyle fuels corner opportunities, with an average of 2.4 corners per match in their last five outings. Osasuna, too, has been active, both offensively and defensively, contributing to the likelihood of corners. Given that Sevilla's last five home encounters saw opponents averaging 1.6 goals, it's clear that action will be plentiful on the field. With a solid xG average for Sevilla and the potential for both teams to engage in a back-and-forth battle, betting on over 8.5 corners feels like a savvy move for this clash.

Genoa vs Venezia: Over 9.5 Total Corners (+142)

As Genoa takes on Venezia, the corner count is primed to soar past 9.5. Let's look at the dynamics: Genoa's recent home matches have seen them averaging nearly 12 shots and a solid 2.2 corners, while Venezia, despite struggling away, is racking up around 12 shots themselves. Both teams have been leaking goals, with Genoa conceding an average of 2 at home and Venezia around 2.4 on the road, pushing them to attack fervently. The pressure to score will likely lead to corners as both sides push forward. With their corner averages hovering in the realm of 2.8 for Genoa and 2 for Venezia, the combination of high shot counts and a pressing need for goals sets a perfect stage for a corner-fest. Expect the corners to pile up as both teams chase vital points in this Serie A clash!

Genoa vs Venezia: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-116)

As Genoa prepares to host Venezia, the stage is set for a corner kick fest. Both teams have shown a propensity for corner opportunities in their recent outings. Genoa averages nearly 12 shots per game at home, with a corner tally hovering around 2.2 per match. Meanwhile, Venezia's struggles have led to frequent defensive situations; they've allowed around 3.2 corners per game on the road, contributing to their own corner count. With both teams facing each other, expect a back-and-forth dynamic that creates ample chances. Genoa's desperate need for points, paired with Venezia's away woes, suggests we'll see a lot of action in the corners. Given their combined averages, betting on over 8.5 corners feels like a smart play in this matchup, as both sides will strive to capitalize on every opportunity.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.