On Saturday 29 August 2026, Rei Tsuruya takes on Kevin Borjas in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Kevin Borjas +3.5 on the Line, priced at +205 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Kevin Borjas +3.5 on the Line (+205)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kevin Borjas is a solid underdog in this fight against Rei Tsuruya, and he has a real chance to keep it close. With only a small difference in skill ratings and both fighters showing good recent form, this matchup feels more even than it might seem. Borjas has been getting a bit more rest before this fight too, which can help him stay sharp. The biggest risk here is that both fighters are pretty durable and can take a hit, which means it could go the distance. Still, with Borjas needing to stay within 3.5 points, he has a good shot to cover that spread. Overall, this is a promising pick for anyone looking for a bit of excitement! It was priced at +205 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kevin Borjas to Win (+550)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kevin Borjas is stepping into the ring as a big underdog against Rei Tsuruya, but he has some serious skills. Borjas is known for his striking, which could give him a chance to catch Tsuruya off guard. Tsuruya might be favored, but with Borjas's power, he can definitely turn the tide if he lands the right hits. The biggest risk here is how close the fighters are in age, which often means they can match each other's speed and endurance. Still, at odds of +550, Borjas offers real value for a potential upset. If he plays to his strengths and avoids getting taken down, he has a good shot at winning this fight. It was priced at +550 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $65 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
The tale of the tape:
- Kevin Borjas: last five W-L-L-W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 68 days since the last fight
- Rei Tsuruya: last five W-L-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 89 days since the last fight
That is how our model reads Rei Tsuruya v Kevin Borjas. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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