On Tuesday 22 September 2026, Damian Piwowarczyk takes on Emilio Quissua in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 1.5 Total Rounds, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 1.5 Total Rounds (-108)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Damian Piwowarczyk and Emilio Quissua are both known for their finishing skills, which makes this fight exciting and intense. With both fighters looking to end things quickly, betting on under 1.5 total rounds seems like a smart pick. Our numbers suggest this fight could wrap up soon, rating it close to a coin flip for how many rounds it might last. One thing to keep in mind is that the fighters have similar styles, so it could be a back-and-forth battle before someone gets knocked out or submitted. The odds are decent, and with both fighters eager to finish, there's a good chance we won't see a long fight. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Emilio Quissua to Win (+104)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Emilio Quissua is a talented fighter known for his striking skills, which could give him the upper hand in this matchup against Damian Piwowarczyk. Both fighters are very close in skill, making this fight feel like a coin flip. Quissua needs to keep the fight standing, where he can land powerful shots, while Piwowarczyk might want to take it to the ground to use his grappling. While this could go either way, Quissua's striking ability might be the key to securing the win. Just remember, fights can change in an instant, and Piwowarczyk could surprise everyone if he gets the chance. It was priced at +104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.40 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Damian Piwowarczyk v Emilio Quissua. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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