On Tuesday 22 September 2026, Damian Piwowarczyk takes on Emilio Quissua in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Damian Piwowarczyk to Win, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Damian Piwowarczyk to Win (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing.

If Piwowarczyk can use his grappling and control the pace, he could take the win. The fight is rated very close, so there's a solid chance it could go either way. One concrete risk is that Quissua's striking could catch Piwowarczyk off guard. Still, betting on Piwowarczyk seems like a good choice given his overall skill set. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Damian Piwowarczyk v Emilio Quissua. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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