On Saturday 26 September 2026, Raoni Barcelos takes on Raul Rosas Jr. in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Raoni Barcelos to Win, priced at +157 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Raoni Barcelos to Win (+157)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

For Raoni Barcelos to win tonight, he needs to use his striking skills effectively against Raul Rosas Jr. Barcelos has experience on his side, which can be huge in a fight where every moment counts. Rosas Jr. is younger and brings a lot of energy, so he could push the pace. However, he will need to be careful not to get caught by Barcelos's powerful punches. With the fight being so close, there's a real chance it could go either way. But I believe Barcelos has the tools to secure a win tonight. It was priced at +157 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25.70 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Raoni Barcelos: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 5-fight win streak, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 146 days since the last fight
  • Raul Rosas Jr.: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 5-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 195 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Raoni Barcelos v Raul Rosas Jr.. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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