Here are the 6 NRL player props our model likes most for September 21, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
On Friday 25 September 2026,
Dolphins host
Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Thomas Flegler Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Thomas Flegler scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026,
Penrith Panthers host
Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Mat Croker Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Mat Croker scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $170 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dominic Young Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Dominic Young scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Dominic Young has scored a try in each of his last 3 games. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Liam Henry First Try Scorer. This wins if Liam Henry scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Friday 25 September 2026, Dolphins host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Max Plath Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Max Plath scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Francis Manuleleua Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Francis Manuleleua scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +6000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $610 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.