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NFL predictions for Sunday, October 4: the model backs Raiders

14 NFL games on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Raiders +4.5, a HIGH-confidence call. 4 more games have a HIGH-confidence pick.

By Marcus Cole · Published Oct 3, 12:00 AM ET · Updated Oct 4, 11:55 AM ET

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Sunday, October 4. See today's NFL predictions

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders

Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET
Our pick: Under 48.5 points-112

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

For this game, we need the total points scored by the Washington Commanders and the Indianapolis Colts to stay under 48.5.

Full Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders preview →

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens

Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick: Over 43.5 points-110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Betting on the Over 43.5 in this matchup is supported by strong statistical indicators.

Full Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens preview →

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills preview →

New York Jets at Chicago Bears

Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
New York Jets at Chicago Bears · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full New York Jets at Chicago Bears preview →

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals preview →

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans

Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans preview →

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants preview →

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles

Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles preview →

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers preview →

Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings

Sun Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings preview →

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders

Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Top pick: Raiders +4.5 (they can lose by up to 4 and the bet still wins)-105

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Las Vegas Raiders are looking solid at home, and they've been pretty effective at moving the ball, racking up 232 first downs last season.

Full Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders preview →

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers

Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers preview →

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks

Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks preview →

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers

Sun Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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