New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks, October 9, 2026

Atlanta Dream are on fire, having won 9 of their last 10 games and are riding a six-game winning streak. They've been scoring a crazy 94.6 points on average in their last 20 games, showing they can really put up numbers. The New York Liberty have had a solid season too, winning 6 of their last 10, but they've faced the third toughest schedule in the league, which might have worn them down a bit. This matchup is tough, but Atlanta Dream has the momentum and scoring power on their side. The Liberty have been good at home, but with Atlanta's hot streak, they could struggle to keep up. The biggest risk is how close their win rates are, so it could go either way. Still, with the odds at +129, it's worth taking a chance on Atlanta Dream to win. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 180.5 Total Points (-250)

The New York Liberty have been facing tough teams lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games, while the Atlanta Dream have been on fire, winning 9 of their last 10. However, the Liberty's schedule has been one of the hardest in the league, which could slow down scoring. The Dream are scoring a lot lately, but the Liberty play strong defense, especially at home. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 157 points, so betting on under 180.5 looks good. The biggest risk is that the Dream have been scoring high, but the Liberty's defense might keep it lower. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Under 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Angel Reese needs to score points and grab rebounds, but tonight's matchup against the Atlanta Dream could make that tough. The Dream have been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games and scoring a ton. Plus, Reese's recent numbers show she's not hitting her usual marks, especially with lower offensive rebounds lately. On the other hand, the New York Liberty face a tough challenge as they try to keep up with a high-scoring team. While they've had some decent wins, they still face a strong opponent that puts pressure on both ends of the court. The biggest risk is how well the Dream have been playing, which could limit Reese's chances to shine. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Sabrina Ionescu needs to score less than 21 points and assists combined tonight for this bet to work. She faces a tough Atlanta Dream team that has been on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and scoring a ton of points, which could make it harder for her to rack up big numbers. While Ionescu has talent, the New York Liberty have played against some strong opponents lately, and they've only won 6 of their last 10 games. Plus, the Dream's strong defense could limit her chances. The biggest risk here is that the game could be high-scoring, which means she might have more opportunities to get points and assists. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Over 12.5 Rebounds and Assists (-109)

Breanna Stewart is facing off against the Atlanta Dream, who have been on a hot streak lately. Stewart has a tough challenge ahead, especially since the Dream have just won 9 out of their last 10 games and are scoring a ton. However, she has been a standout player, and with her talent, she can definitely rack up rebounds and assists. We're betting on Stewart to get over 12.5 combined rebounds and assists. Our numbers show she has a good chance of reaching this mark. The biggest risk is that the Dream's strong defense might limit her opportunities. Still, with her recent form, this bet feels promising. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.