On Saturday 10 October 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 158.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 158.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
For the total points to go over 158.5 tonight, both teams need to score well, and they have shown they can. The Las Vegas Aces are averaging a high 90.9 points per game this season and have won 8 of their last 10 games, showing they can really light up the scoreboard. The Golden State Valkyries have also been in great form, winning 8 of their last 10. However, they have faced some tough teams, which could keep their scoring lower than expected. Still, with both teams in good scoring shape, this bet looks promising. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries +4 on the Line (-105)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 90.9 points per game. However, the Golden State Valkyries have also been strong lately, winning 8 of their last 10. They have faced tougher teams, which might help them perform better against the Aces. Though Las Vegas is favored, the match is expected to be close, with our numbers showing it as nearly a coin flip. The main risk is how well the Aces have been scoring, but there's a good chance the Valkyries can stay competitive. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Under 37.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 90.9 points a game. A'ja Wilson, their star player, has been playing well, but against the Golden State Valkyries, it might be tougher. The Valkyries have also won 8 out of their last 10 and are known for their solid defense, which could limit Wilson's scoring and rebounding. Betting on A'ja Wilson to score under 37.5 points and rebounds could be a smart choice. The Valkyries have faced some tough opponents this season, making it hard to judge their true strength. A'ja might find it challenging to hit those numbers with the pressure from a solid defense. It's a close matchup, so while I think this bet has good potential, it's not a sure thing. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds correct at time of publishing
The odds are offering a good chance for Tiffany Hayes to score over 8.5 points. She plays for the Las Vegas Aces, who are doing great lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 90.9 points a game. Meanwhile, the Golden State Valkyries have also been winning but have faced tougher opponents, which might slow them down. Hayes has been part of this scoring party, so she has a good shot here. Just remember, the Valkyries can be tricky, and they might put up a strong defense against her. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Under 22.5 Points and Assists (-109)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been playing well lately, but the Golden State Valkyries have faced tougher teams than the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces are scoring a lot, averaging nearly 91 points a game, but that can sometimes mean fewer opportunities for individual players to rack up points and assists. Plus, both teams have won 8 of their last 10 games, so this should be a close matchup. The risk here is that Gabby could have a breakout game, especially against a team that scores so well. However, with the Aces' strong defense and the way the Valkyries have been playing, it makes sense to expect her to stay under 22.5 combined points and assists. It's a good chance based on our numbers, but there's no guarantee. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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