On Thursday 8 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 156.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 156.5 Total Points (-108)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are really scoring this season, averaging an impressive 91.6 points per game. They've also been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games. The Golden State Valkyries have had a good run too, winning 8 of their last 10, so both teams are in great form. With both teams scoring well, it's likely we'll see a high total in this matchup. While both teams have faced tough opponents lately, the Aces have had a slightly easier schedule, which could give them an advantage. The total points line set at 156.5 seems reasonable, but our numbers suggest it could reach around 160.9. It's close to a coin flip, so there's a chance it might not hit that mark, but it feels like a solid bet to take a shot at the over. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries to Win (-120)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The odds for the Golden State Valkyries to win are pretty inviting at -114. They've been on a good run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. This shows they can compete well, especially considering they've faced some tough teams lately. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Aces are also strong, having won 9 of their last 10. What makes this matchup interesting is how evenly matched these teams are. The Valkyries have a solid scoring ability, but the Aces are scoring an impressive 91.6 points a game this season. With both teams in good form, it could easily go either way, making the Valkyries' slight advantage worth considering. Just remember, the Aces are no easy opponents. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Golden State Valkyries +0.5 on the Line (-125)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries are getting a small boost with the point spread at +0.5, which is great given they've won 8 of their last 10 games. They've also faced tougher opponents lately, making their recent wins even more impressive. The Las Vegas Aces have been strong too, winning 9 of their last 10 and scoring a lot, but this matchup feels very even. The main risk here is that the Aces have a higher scoring average this season. Still, the Valkyries are at home and have a good chance to keep it close, so this bet looks promising. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Under 36.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
A'ja Wilson has been playing well lately, but she faces a tough matchup against the Golden State Valkyries. The Valkyries have won 8 of their last 10 games and are known for their solid defense. They play a tough style that could limit Wilson's scoring and rebounding opportunities. We think a bet on A'ja Wilson to score under 36.5 points and rebounds makes sense here. The Valkyries have been facing teams with a challenging record, which means they know how to shut down star players. The biggest risk is that Wilson can still have a big game and surprise everyone, but with the Valkyries' strong defense, this bet looks promising. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds correct at time of publishing
Chelsea Gray has been on fire lately, helping the Las Vegas Aces score a ton of points. She's been averaging over 91 points a game this season, and in a matchup against the Golden State Valkyries, we think she can score over 11.5 points. The Valkyries have had a tough schedule, which could help push the scoring. However, it's worth noting that Gray has had some ups and downs too, so this bet doesn't come without risk. Still, with her recent form, this bet feels solid. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kaila Charles Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (+111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kaila Charles needs to make at least one three-pointer tonight for this bet to win. She's been part of a Golden State team that's won 8 of their last 10 games, showing they can score well together. The Las Vegas Aces have also been strong, winning 8 of their last 10, but they might focus more on defense. Charles has a good shot at hitting a three since the Aces allow their opponents to shoot well from beyond the arc. The biggest risk is that both teams are playing well, and if the game gets tight, she might not get enough chances. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article