On Wednesday 7 October 2026, Atlanta Dream play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream -2 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Atlanta Dream -2 on the Line (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
You can grab Atlanta Dream at -2, and our numbers think that's a solid pick. They've been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of nearly 95 points in their last 20 games. Plus, they've won all their last 6, showing they're in great form. On the other hand, New York Liberty have had a tougher time, winning only 6 of their last 10 and struggling against strong teams. The difference in how well these teams are playing right now gives Atlanta a bit of an advantage. Just remember, the Liberty have faced a tough schedule recently, so they might surprise us. The game could be close, but I like Atlanta to pull ahead in the end. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 170.5 Total Points (-108)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Atlanta Dream are on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of 94 points in their last 20 matches. They've also won their last 6 straight, showing they can put up big numbers consistently. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have had a decent run too, winning 4 of their last 6. However, their recent opponents have had a pretty tough record, which could affect their scoring. With both teams playing well and the Dream scoring so high, there's a strong chance we see more than 170 points in this game. The only real risk is how close the teams are when it comes to overall performance. Still, I think the over on total points looks promising at these odds. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Atlanta Dream to Win (-125)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The odds for the Atlanta Dream to win are looking solid at -145. They've been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 94 points on average over their last 20 games. Plus, they've won every one of their last 6 games, showing they're in great form. On the other hand, the New York Liberty have had a tougher schedule, which makes their recent wins less impressive. They've won 6 out of their last 10, but they are traveling further for this game. The Dream also have a slight rest advantage, which could matter in a close match. While the Liberty have played well lately, they might struggle against a Dream team that is really clicking right now. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Leonie Fiebich Under 13.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
For Leonie Fiebich to stay under 13.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists, she'll need to have a quieter night. The Atlanta Dream are on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 94.6 points per game over their last 20. With the team playing so well, there's a good chance they'll dominate the game, which could limit Fiebich's opportunities to rack up stats. The New York Liberty haven't been as consistent, winning only 6 of their last 10. They've faced some tough opponents lately, which might have affected their rhythm. However, with both teams playing hard, it's possible Fiebich could be held back. The most concrete risk is that the game could be closer than expected, meaning her playing time might be limited if the Dream take the lead early. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
DeWanna Bonner Under 14.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
DeWanna Bonner has been a key player for Atlanta, and she's been on fire lately. The Dream have won six straight games and are scoring a lot, averaging almost 95 points in their last 20 games. However, New York Liberty has had a tough schedule, which means they've faced some strong teams. This could make it harder for Bonner to rack up points and assists against them. Even though Bonner is talented, there's a chance she might struggle in this matchup since the Liberty's defense could put up a fight. Plus, she might not need to do as much since the Dream are doing well overall. Betting on her to score under 14.5 points and assists feels like a smart move here. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Pauline Astier Over 6.5 Rebounds and Assists (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Atlanta Dream are on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 94 points a game recently. Pauline Astier has been a key player in this strong run, and with the team playing at home, she should have plenty of chances to contribute with rebounds and assists. New York Liberty have faced a tough schedule, which makes it harder for them to keep pace. Astier's recent form suggests a good chance she'll go over 6.5 combined rebounds and assists in this matchup. The biggest risk is that the Liberty might put up a strong defense, but with Atlanta's scoring power, Astier could still shine. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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