New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks (Angel Reese Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

The Atlanta Dream have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games, and they've been scoring a whopping 95.8 points per game over their last 20. The New York Liberty have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10, but they have faced some tough opponents. Since the matchup is so close, with our numbers showing it's nearly a coin flip, I like Atlanta Dream to cover the spread here. Just keep in mind, the Liberty have played a tougher schedule, which could make this game a bit tricky. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 181.5 Total Points (-189)

Both the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream have been playing well lately, with each winning 8 of their last 10 games. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents overall, making their recent success even more impressive. This matchup features two solid defenses, which should keep the score lower. Our numbers suggest the total points will be around 163, which is significantly under the line of 181.5. The biggest risk here is that both teams might surprise us with their scoring, but with their current form and defensive play, sticking with the under seems like a smart choice. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Over 18.5 Points and Assists (-110)

For Angel Reese to score over 18.5 points and assists tonight, she needs to keep up her strong performance. In her last ten night games, she has averaged almost 24 combined points and assists, showing she can really shine when the lights are on. The New York Liberty have also been in good form, winning 7 of their last 10 games, which might help create a high-scoring atmosphere. On the other hand, the Atlanta Dream, while also hot with 8 wins in their last 10, have faced slightly easier opponents. Angel has performed better at night, but the Dream's defense could be a challenge. Still, with her recent numbers, she's likely to hit that mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordin Canada Under 6.5 Assists (+111)

For Jordin Canada to have fewer than 6.5 assists tonight, she needs to face some tough defense. Both the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream have been winning a lot lately, but Canada's assist numbers can be inconsistent. She averages 6.2 assists at night, which is right around our target, and with the Liberty facing a team that's been playing well, she might not find as many chances to pass. The competition is fierce, and Canada will be up against a solid defense. With the Dream winning 15 of their last 20 games and scoring a lot, they might not need her to set up as many plays. It's a close matchup, so while this bet is risky, the odds look good for a lower assist count from her tonight. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 31.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-111)

Tonight, we need Breanna Stewart to keep her points, rebounds, and assists under 31.5. She has been strong lately, but she tends to score less during daylight games, averaging only 17.9 when you add up her points and assists. Plus, she scored 22.1 points at night, so this could be a challenge. The New York Liberty have faced a tough schedule lately, which might make it harder for Stewart to shine in this matchup. Both teams are on a winning streak, but Atlanta has been playing well too. If the game is competitive, there's a solid chance Stewart won't hit that number. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.