On Thursday 24 September 2026, New York Liberty play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Atlanta Dream +1.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, the Atlanta Dream are on a hot streak too, winning 8 of their last 10. Both teams are playing well, making this matchup feel pretty close. The Dream have faced a slightly weaker set of opponents compared to the Liberty, which could make a difference when they meet at Barclays Center. Even with the Liberty's home advantage, the margin is expected to be tight. The Dream could pull off a win or at least keep it close, which is why betting on Atlanta Dream +1.5 makes sense. The most concrete risk here is that both teams have been performing so similarly lately, it could go either way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Atlanta Dream to Win (+102)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Atlanta Dream come into this game on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 matches and 5 of their last 6. They've faced some tough teams, with a schedule that ranks in the middle among all clubs, but they've handled it well. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6, making this a close matchup. Both teams are performing well, but the Liberty have faced a slightly tougher schedule. The Dream have a little more rest and less travel, which might give them a slight advantage. The most concrete risk is that both teams are in great form, so it could easily go either way. Still, the numbers suggest the Dream have a good chance to come out on top here. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 181.5 Total Points (-189)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Both the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream have been playing well lately, with each winning 8 of their last 10 games. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents overall, making their recent success even more impressive. This matchup features two solid defenses, which should keep the score lower. Our numbers suggest the total points will be around 163, which is significantly under the line of 181.5. The biggest risk here is that both teams might surprise us with their scoring, but with their current form and defensive play, sticking with the under seems like a smart choice. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 16.5 Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Angel Reese needs to score over 16.5 points tonight for this bet to win. She's been on fire lately, averaging nearly 20 points per game at night, and the Liberty have shown they can score against tough teams. Plus, Reese has a knack for stepping up in big games. The risk is that both teams are playing well, with the Dream also winning 8 of their last 10. Still, Reese's strong performance and the Liberty's good scoring form make this a solid pick. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rhyne Howard Over 23.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Rhyne Howard is a key player for the Atlanta Dream, and she's been on fire lately, averaging over 25 points and assists combined in night games. With both teams playing well, it's likely Howard will need to step up against the New York Liberty, who have faced a tough schedule. The Liberty have won 7 of their last 10 games, so they'll be a challenge. The biggest risk is that Howard's numbers dip during day games, which might affect her output. Still, I like the bet for her to go over 23.5 points, rebounds, and assists. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Breanna Stewart Under 31.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Tonight, we need Breanna Stewart to keep her points, rebounds, and assists under 31.5. She has been strong lately, but she tends to score less during daylight games, averaging only 17.9 when you add up her points and assists. Plus, she scored 22.1 points at night, so this could be a challenge. The New York Liberty have faced a tough schedule lately, which might make it harder for Stewart to shine in this matchup. Both teams are on a winning streak, but Atlanta has been playing well too. If the game is competitive, there's a solid chance Stewart won't hit that number. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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