On Monday 28 September 2026, Monza play Cagliari in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Cagliari +0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at -105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Monza vs Cagliari: Cagliari +0.25 Goal Handicap (-105)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to take on Cagliari, recent form paints a compelling picture favoring the visitors. Monza’s struggles at home are glaring, with just one win in their last five matches and an average of 1.6 goals scored. Their defensive frailties have seen them concede an alarming 2.4 goals per game over that stretch. Cagliari, in stark contrast, have found their stride, boasting an impressive away record with four wins in their last five outings, and they’ve limited opponents to just 0.4 goals on average. They’ve also shown they can score consistently, averaging 1.2 goals per game away from home. With Monza’s home woes deepening and Cagliari riding high on confidence, backing Cagliari at a 0.25 handicap feels like a savvy move. Their current momentum suggests they’ll capitalize on Monza's vulnerabilities, making this a prime opportunity for a Cagliari victory.

Monza vs Cagliari: Cagliari Moneyline (+245)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As we look ahead to Monza taking on Cagliari, the dynamics heavily favor the visitors. Cagliari's recent form has been nothing short of impressive, winning four of their last five matches, showcasing a rock-solid defense that’s conceded just two goals in that span. Contrast this with Monza, who have struggled at home with just one win in their last five, averaging a disappointing 1.6 goals scored while allowing 2.4. Cagliari’s away record highlights their resilience, as they’ve maintained a solid average of 1.2 goals scored while stifling opponents to a mere 0.4. Their ability to keep clean sheets, combined with Monza’s attacking woes, paints a clear picture of a match skewed in Cagliari’s favor. With Cagliari’s odds presenting a tempting opportunity, betting on them to clinch the victory feels like a savvy move.

That is how our model reads Monza v Cagliari. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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