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Model picks & player props
Minnesota Twins
VS
Toronto Blue Jays

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 22, 6:54PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Indoor
Sun 12 Apr 2026, 5:37PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 13.5 (Total Runs)
For Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB), model win probability 35.0%, fair odds 2.86, book price +600, model edge +20.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 12 Apr 2026, 5:37PM at Rogers Centre.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Over
13.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Twins

  • David Festa SPOut
  • Mick Abel SPOut
  • Marco Raya RPOut
  • Connor Prielipp SPOut
  • Garrett Acton RPOut
  • Anthony Banda RPOut
  • Cole Sands RPOut
  • Pablo Lopez SPOut

Probable pitcher

Kendry Rojas SP

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Jonatan Clase LFDay-to-day
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Max Scherzer SPOut
  • Lenyn Sosa 2BOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jesus Sanchez RFOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Kevin Gausman SP
Availability updated Jul 21, 11:18PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToronto Blue JaysNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA3.4Home L51-4vs Minnesota Twins L52-3Win rec3-9

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA3.4Home L51-4vs Minnesota Twins L52-3ATS5-9

Toronto Blue Jays spread form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota TwinsNo line posted

Toronto Blue Jays total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
2.5implied team total
L5 RF1.2L5 RA3.4Home L51-4vs Minnesota Twins L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 1.8 runs per game (1-4) while Minnesota Twins are at 2.6 (1-4); Toronto Blue Jays pitchers are allowing 4.4 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for Minnesota Twins.

1.8
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
2.6
Minnesota Twins runs/G
Last 5 gamesToronto Blue JaysMinnesota Twins
Runs / game1.82.6
Hits / game6.05.0
Home runs / game0.20.8
Walks drawn / game2.22.6
Batter K / game6.47.4
Earned runs allowed / game4.44.2
Pitching K / game6.27.0
Walks allowed / game2.82.4
L5 record1-41-4

Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays — model preview

<p>Latest MLB betting preview: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins stats and odds.</p>

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins : Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+168)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins : Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+164)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins : Minnesota Twins Win (-102)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
6
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
12 Apr 26 Moneyline Minnesota Twins ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 Spread Minnesota Twins -1.5 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 Spread Minnesota Twins -3.5 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 Spread Minnesota Twins -2.5 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 Total Runs Over 13.5 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 12 April 2026 at Rogers Centre. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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