Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Jonquel Jones Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The Minnesota Lynx have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, the New York Liberty also have a solid record, winning 6 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6. They've faced tough teams, which shows they can handle pressure. Plus, they have a travel advantage, having less distance to cover compared to Minnesota. Betting on New York Liberty to cover the spread of 7 points makes sense here. The teams are closely matched, and our numbers suggest a final score difference of only about 2 points. The Lynx have been good, but the Liberty can put up a fight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 Assists (+108)

Jonquel Jones has been a star for the New York Liberty, but her performance dips when she plays away from home. At home, she averages 2.3 assists, but on the road, that number drops to only 1.2. This means she's less likely to dish out assists in this game against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They've been playing well on both ends of the court, making it tougher for opponents to score. With Jonquel's recent struggles away, betting on her to get under 2.5 assists seems like a smart move. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 10.5 Rebounds and Assists (-108)

You can bet on Napheesa Collier to have under 10.5 rebounds and assists against the New York Liberty at odds of -110. Collier has been solid lately, but she tends to have lower numbers when playing at night, averaging about 19.8 combined points and assists compared to 21.3 during the day. This matchup is tricky because the Liberty have faced one of the toughest schedules, which could make things harder for her. While Collier is a strong player, the competition she faces tonight is fierce. Plus, the Lynx have won just 3 of their last 6 games. This means Collier might not have as many chances to rack up those stats. This bet has a good chance of hitting, but keep in mind that Collier could surprise us. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Natasha Howard Over 6.5 Rebounds (-108)

For Natasha Howard to grab over 6.5 rebounds tonight, she needs to be active on the boards against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx have won 6 of their last 10 games, but they've been struggling a bit, winning just 2 of their last 6. This means Howard might find more opportunities to rebound if her team can keep the game competitive. The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10, and Howard has shown that she can step up in games like this. However, the competition is tough, and both teams have faced strong opponents recently. That said, a concrete risk is how closely matched these teams are, which could lead to fewer rebounds if the game goes in a different direction. Still, it feels like a good chance for Howard to hit that mark. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.