Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabova Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 31 October 2026, Tainara Lisboa takes on Lucia Szabova in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 2.5 Total Rounds, priced at +107 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 2.5 Total Rounds (+107)

This fight between Tainara Lisboa and Lucia Szabova is likely to be a good one, as both fighters have strong skills. Tainara is known for her striking ability, while Lucia has a solid grappling game. With both styles in play, they might keep it competitive for longer than expected. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance this fight will go over 2.5 rounds. The age difference between the fighters is small, which could mean they both have the energy to keep going. The biggest risk is that if one fighter finds an early finish, it could stop the fight short. But overall, it feels like they will put on a show and keep the action going for a while. It was priced at +107 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.70 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Dakota Hope: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 205 days since the last fight
• Farman Hasanov: last five W, won the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 121 days since the last fight
• Francis Marshall: last five W-W-L-W-L, on a 2-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 184 days since the last fight
• Jacobe Smith: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 5-fight win streak, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 23 days since the last fight
• Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: last five W-W-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 100 days since the last fight
• JeongYeong Lee: last five L-L-W-W, dropped the last 2, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 534 days since the last fight
• Joe Kropschot: last five W, won the last fight, 76 days since the last fight
• Julian Erosa: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 212 days since the last fight
• Luana Santos: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 128 days since the last fight
• Mickey Gall: last five L-L-L-L-W, dropped the last 4, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 709 days since the last fight
• Nick Klein: last five L-L-W, dropped the last 2, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 450 days since the last fight
• Piera Rodriguez: last five W-W-W-L-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 226 days since the last fight
• Randy Brown: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 14% of career wins came by knockout, 198 days since the last fight
• Renato Moicano: last five W-L-L-W-W, won the last fight, 3% of career wins came by knockout, 205 days since the last fight
• Rodrigo Sezinando: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 408 days since the last fight
• Talita Alencar: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 184 days since the last fight
• Theodor Berggren: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 121 days since the last fight
• Tom Nolan: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 5-fight win streak, 17% of career wins came by knockout, 142 days since the last fight
• Yana Santos: last five W-W-W-L-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 387 days since the last fight
• Zach Reese: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 107 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Tainara Lisboa v Lucia Szabova. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.