On Saturday 24 October 2026, Nikita Krylov takes on Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Rounds, priced at +220 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 1.5 Total Rounds (+220)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Nikita Krylov and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev are both tough fighters, and they have different styles that could lead to a longer fight. Krylov is known for his striking and finishing ability, while Yakhyaev has a solid wrestling background. With both fighters being skilled, it's likely we'll see them trading moves back and forth rather than one getting an early finish. Betting on over 1.5 rounds seems smart because they both know how to defend themselves and might be cautious at first. The fight could be close, so there's a chance it goes into the later rounds. Just remember, if one fighter catches the other off guard, it could end quicker than expected. It was priced at +220 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $32 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev to Win (-500)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev has been on a solid run lately, showing great skills in his fights. He has a strong chance to win against Nikita Krylov, and our numbers show he's a strong favorite in this matchup. Yakhyaev's style is sharp, and he knows how to keep the pressure on his opponents, making it tough for them to find their rhythm. Krylov is a tough fighter too, and this could be closer than it seems. The biggest risk is that Krylov can pull off a surprise with his unpredictability. Still, Yakhyaev's recent form and skills make him the better pick to win this fight. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
The tale of the tape:
- Nikita Krylov: last five L-W-L-L-W, lost the last fight, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 105 days since the last fight
- Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 20% of career wins came by knockout, 119 days since the last fight
That is how our model reads Nikita Krylov v Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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