On Sunday 20 September 2026, Marlon Vera takes on Charles Jourdain in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Marlon Vera to Win, priced at +215 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Marlon Vera to Win (+215)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

Marlon Vera is a tough fighter who knows how to handle pressure. He has great striking skills and can keep the fight on his feet, which is where he shines. Charles Jourdain is also skilled, but Vera's experience and ability to take a hit could make the difference. The odds show Vera as an underdog, which is surprising given his talent. The biggest risk here is that Jourdain might catch Vera off guard with his own striking. Still, Vera has a solid chance to win this fight, and betting on him could pay off nicely. It was priced at +215 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31.50 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Marlon Vera: last five L-L-L-L-W, dropped the last 4, 19% of career wins came by knockout, 195 days since the last fight
  • Charles Jourdain: last five W-W-W-L-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 146 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Marlon Vera v Charles Jourdain. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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