On Saturday 5 September 2026, Modestas Bukauskas takes on Oumar Sy in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Oumar Sy -5.5 on the Line, priced at +125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Oumar Sy -5.5 on the Line (+125)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

Oumar Sy needs to win by at least six points for this bet to hit. He has some advantages that make this a good pick, like his strong performance lately, which suggests he's in better form than Modestas Bukauskas. Sy's reach might be a challenge, but if he uses his skills wisely, he can keep Bukauskas at bay and control the fight. Bukauskas has shown some toughness, which could make it hard for Sy to finish him. If Sy can avoid getting too comfortable and stick to his game plan, he has a solid shot at covering that spread. It was priced at +125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Modestas Bukauskas to Win (+198)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Modestas Bukauskas takes on Oumar Sy in the UFC on Saturday 5 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Modestas Bukauskas to Win. That is a match winner bet. It was priced at +198 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $29.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Modestas Bukauskas: last five W-L-W-W-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 110 days since the last fight
  • Oumar Sy: last five L-W-L-W-W, dropped the last 1, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 173 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Modestas Bukauskas v Oumar Sy. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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