On Thursday 15 October 2026, Liverpool play Brighton and Hove Albion in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Brighton, the stage is set for an intriguing clash. Though the Reds have struggled to find their rhythm recently, averaging just one goal per game in their last five outings, their attacking prowess remains undeniable. They’ve been racking up an impressive 12.4 shots per game, hinting at potential breakthroughs. Brighton, on the other hand, has shown resilience, consistently pressing and creating chances. Their ability to exploit defensive lapses could see them not only find the net but also encourage a high-scoring affair. Given Liverpool's home form, where they tend to concede an average of 1.4 goals, the likelihood of both teams contributing to the scoreline is high. With an expected goal average that suggests plenty of attacking opportunities, betting on over 1.5 goals feels like the smart move in what promises to be an entertaining match.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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