Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm Prediction & Picks (Jewell Loyd Key Factor): Our Expert Analysis

To cover the spread tonight, Seattle Storm needs to keep the game close against the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces have been strong lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games, but they've been letting opponents score a bit more than usual. The Storm, despite their struggles, have a chance since they only lost by an average of 4.9 points in their last 12 games. The main risk is that Seattle has only won 2 of their last 10, so they need to step up. This could be tighter than expected. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jewell Loyd Under 7.5 Points (-110)

Jewell Loyd has been struggling to find her rhythm lately, and this matchup against the Las Vegas Aces could make it tougher. The Aces have been solid defensively, allowing opponents to shoot a lot of threes but still keeping scores in check. With Loyd's recent form and the Aces' defense, the chances of her going under 7.5 points look pretty favorable. The Seattle Storm have not been playing well, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, and Loyd has not been getting the support she needs. There's always a risk that she could surprise everyone and have a breakout game, but with the way both teams are performing, sticking with under 7.5 points seems like a smart call. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awa Fam Under 5.5 Rebounds (+112)

Awa Fam has been struggling lately, and the Las Vegas Aces have won six of their last ten games. They've allowed opponents to get a lot of three-point attempts, which could mean less time for rebounds. On the other hand, the Seattle Storm have only won two of their last ten and have also been letting teams score easily. This matchup looks good for Awa Fam to grab fewer than 5.5 rebounds. The Aces have been averaging a margin of about 4.2 points behind in their last few games, while the Storm are coming in at 4.9 points behind. The numbers suggest Awa Fam is a strong favorite to stay under that rebound total. However, the close competition between these teams could be a challenge. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Under 35.5 Points and Rebounds (-108)

A'ja Wilson has been a key player for the Las Vegas Aces, but she might struggle against the Seattle Storm. The Storm have been tough on defense lately, allowing fewer points and rebounds than usual. With the Aces recently winning 6 out of their last 10 games, it shows they can score, but they've also been close in many matchups. Wilson's total of points and rebounds could fall under 35.5 in this game. The Aces allow a decent number of three-point attempts, but the Storm's defense is tighter than it seems. Plus, both teams have been finishing games within a few points of each other lately. The most concrete risk here is the close nature of their recent games, which could lead to an unexpected performance. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Seattle Storm. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.