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Model picks & player props
NHL
Ball Arena, Colorado
Indoor
Wed 14 Oct 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Dallas Stars
VS
Colorado Avalanche

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 30 markets for Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche and backs Dallas Stars hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $295.

20
Game markets graded
10
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars 3-Way Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$29.50Best price+195
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win34.0%
The price says33.9%

The model graded 30 markets for Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $295 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 14 Oct 2026, 8:30 PM ET at Ball Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
3-Way Moneyline Dallas Stars Long-shot34% chance +195
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
Spread Members only High68% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High74% chance Members
2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
2nd Period Puck Lines Members only Long-shot12% chance Members
2nd Period Moneyline Members only Lean44% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean42% chance Members
3rd Period Moneyline Members only Lean43% chance Members
Points × 2 props Highup to 78% Members
Shots on Goal × 4 props Highup to 60% Members
Goals × 2 props Long-shotup to 38% Members
Saves × 1 prop Highup to 65% Members
Assists × 1 prop Long-shotup to 37% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche last met on Wed 14 Oct 2026: Dallas Stars won 3-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3-Way Moneyline
Dallas Stars
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 10 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,766+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas Stars3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado Avalanche3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalancheSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado Avalanche2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalanchePuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado Avalanche2nd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado Avalanche2nd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalanchePuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalanchePuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalancheMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado Avalanche3rd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas Stars2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Stars

  • Radek Faksa COut
  • Oskar Back COut
  • Esa Lindell DOut
  • Sam Steel COut
  • Matt Duchene COut
  • Luke Krys DOut
  • Cameron Hughes COut

Colorado Avalanche

  • Nicolas Roy COut
  • Zachary L'Heureux LWOut
Availability updated Oct 25, 8:55PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 15 Oct

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks

On October 14, 2026 our model has run Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Dallas Stars 3-Way Moneyline (+175), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3-Way Moneyline (+175)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Both the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars have been a bit shaky lately, each winning only four out of their last ten games. The Avalanche have a lot of players who shoot left, which can be a challenge for the Stars' defense. However, the Stars have shown they can compete, and with the odds at +175, they are an underdog with a real shot to pull off a win. The biggest risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so it could go either way. Playing at Ball Arena gives the Avalanche a slight boost, but the Stars have the talent to surprise. Betting on the Dallas Stars could pay off if they find their rhythm and capitalize on any mistakes from Colorado.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline (+200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Both the Colorado Avalanche and the Dallas Stars have had a rough patch lately, each winning only 4 of their last 10 games. This makes the matchup pretty close, and that's where the Dallas Stars come in as a solid underdog. With odds at +200, they have a real chance to surprise, especially since they're looking to turn things around. The Stars might not have many players who have been in the lineup for long stretches, but they can still find ways to score. Plus, with Colorado struggling, the Stars could take advantage of this moment. The biggest risk is that both teams are in a similar form, so it could go either way. Still, taking a shot on the Stars for the second period could pay off nicely!

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Colorado Avalanche +1.5 Puck Lines (-345)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Colorado Avalanche are playing at home against the Dallas Stars, and they have a decent record in their last ten games, winning four of them. The Avalanche have a strong team, and with most of their players shooting left, they have a solid strategy when attacking. They are rated as a strong favorite in this matchup, which adds to their chances of covering the puck line. On the other hand, the Dallas Stars have also won four of their last ten games, making this a close contest. While both teams are pretty evenly matched, Colorado's home advantage could be key. The biggest risk here is that some Stars players haven't played many games this season, which might affect their performance. Still, the Avalanche should have the upper hand in this one.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Casey DeSmith Under 26.5 Saves (-130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

At Ball Arena, the Colorado Avalanche take on the Dallas Stars. Both teams have been pretty even lately, each winning 4 out of their last 10 games. Casey DeSmith is in goal for Colorado, and he may not face too many shots. With both teams struggling to find the net consistently, it seems likely he won't need to make a ton of saves. The risk here is that if the game turns into a high-scoring affair, DeSmith could face more shots than expected. However, our numbers suggest there's a good chance he stays under 26.5 saves. Given how both teams are playing right now, this bet looks solid for the matchup.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nathan MacKinnon is playing at home, and the Colorado Avalanche will face off against the Dallas Stars at Ball Arena. Both teams have won only 4 of their last 10 games, showing they might be struggling a bit. However, MacKinnon has been a consistent scorer, and when he's on the ice, he tends to get a lot of shots on goal. Our numbers suggest he has a good chance of hitting over 3.5 shots in this matchup. The biggest risk is that Dallas has some strong defenders who could limit his opportunities. But given MacKinnon's skill and the pressure of playing at home, he usually rises to the occasion. With the way he plays, this bet feels like a solid choice for fans hoping to see him shine.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Tyler Seguin Under 1.5 Shots on Goal (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tyler Seguin might have a tough time getting shots on goal against the Colorado Avalanche. Both teams have only won four of their last ten games, and the Avalanche's defense is known for making it hard for players to get good chances. Playing at Ball Arena, the Avalanche will be extra motivated to protect their home ice, which could put even more pressure on Seguin. This bet is for under 1.5 shots on goal for him. It's a close call, but Seguin has some challenges ahead. The Avalanche's strong defensive play could be a real problem, especially since they often limit their opponents' chances. If Seguin struggles to find his rhythm, this bet could end up being a good one.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 15 Oct

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Thursday 15 October 2026, Colorado Avalanche play Dallas Stars in the NHL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Gabriel Landeskog (Colorado Avalanche) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Gabriel Landeskog (Colorado Avalanche) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-667)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Avalanche play Dallas Stars in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Gabriel Landeskog (Colorado Avalanche) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Colorado Avalanche +2.5 (-714)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Avalanche play Dallas Stars in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Avalanche +2.5. That is a Spread bet. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Miro Heiskanen (Dallas Stars) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-588)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Avalanche play Dallas Stars in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Miro Heiskanen (Dallas Stars) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Colorado Avalanche v Dallas Stars. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche Points
Tyler Seguin Dallas Stars Shots on Goal
Nazem Kadri Colorado Avalanche Goals
Casey DeSmith Dallas Stars Saves
Gabriel Landeskog Colorado Avalanche Points

+ 10 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Colorado AvalancheNo line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G3.6GA/G2.8Shots/G28.6vs Stars2-3

Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineDallas Stars +1.5No line posted
4-1last 5 record
GF/G2.8GA/G1.8Shots/G28.6vs Avalanche2-3

Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche — what the model found

Our model graded 30 betting markets for Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche — 20 on the game itself and 10 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
10
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 30 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 29 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche — recent results

Colorado Avalanche have won 2 of their last 5 games; Dallas Stars have won 5 of their last 5.

Colorado Avalanche — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6NSHAway
W6–3TBHome
L3–4NJAway
L2–3PHIAway
W5–2PITHome
Dallas Stars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–3NYIHome
W3–2WPGHome
W3–2BOSHome
W4–0CHIAway
W3–2COLAway

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Colorado Avalanche won 3, Dallas Stars won 2.

DateColorado AvalancheDallas StarsWinner
Oct 1523Dallas Stars
Oct 1432Colorado Avalanche
Apr 420Colorado Avalanche
Mar 1912Dallas Stars
Mar 754Colorado Avalanche

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Avalanche
PlayerStatus
Nicolas Roy COUT
Zachary L'Heureux LWOUT
Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Radek Faksa COUT
Oskar Back COUT
Esa Lindell DOUT
Sam Steel COUT
Matt Duchene COUT
Luke Krys DOUT
Cameron Hughes COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche — model preview

Colorado Avalanche v Dallas Stars, 15 October 2026. Top of the list: Gabriel Landeskog (Colorado Avalanche) Over 0.5 Points. Here is why, in plain English.

On October 14, 2026 our model has run Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Dallas Stars 3-Way Moneyline (+175), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Stars vs Avalanche, or as Avalanche vs Stars. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 14 October 2026 at Ball Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 10 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche head-to-head record

Final scores · 5 meetings on record
Colorado Avalanche 3–2 across the last 5 meetings · these games average 4.8 goals

Last meeting: Thu 15 Oct 2026, Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche: the Stars won 3-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
15 Oct 2026Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche2–3Dallas Stars
14 Oct 2026Colorado Avalanche @ Dallas Stars2–3Colorado Avalanche
4 Apr 2026Colorado Avalanche @ Dallas Stars0–2Colorado Avalanche
19 Mar 2026Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche1–2Dallas Stars
7 Mar 2026Colorado Avalanche @ Dallas Stars4–5Colorado Avalanche
Today's selected board

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