On Monday 28 September 2026, Bologna play Inter Milan in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Inter Milan -0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at -125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bologna vs Inter Milan: Inter Milan -0.75 Goal Handicap (-125)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Inter Milan travels to Bologna, the differences in form and statistics paint a clear picture. Bologna has struggled at home, going 0-2-3 in their last five matches, while Inter is riding a wave of confidence, boasting a 4-1-0 record recently. The stat sheet shows Bologna averaging just 0.6 goals per game lately, with an alarming xG of 0, highlighting their offensive woes. In stark contrast, Inter has been firing on all cylinders, scoring an impressive 3 goals per game in their last five outings and creating plenty of chances with an average of 24.4 shots. With Bologna's defense conceding 1.4 goals per game at home, Inter looks set to capitalize. Betting on Inter Milan -0.75 is a smart move, as they not only have the momentum but also the statistical backing to deliver a decisive victory.

Bologna vs Inter Milan: Over 2.5 Total Goals (-161)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Bologna hosts Inter Milan, expect a lively affair with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities. Bologna’s recent struggles at home, with just two draws in their last five outings, paint a picture of a defense vulnerable to pressure. They've averaged only 1.2 goals at home while conceding 1.4, indicating a tendency to leak goals when the stakes are high. On the flip side, Inter has been in fine form away, averaging 2.2 goals per game and showcasing their attacking prowess with a whopping 17.4 shots per match in their last five away fixtures. With both teams showing mixed results against each other, and given Inter’s firepower coupled with Bologna's defensive woes, the stage is set for a high-scoring encounter. Betting on over 2.5 goals feels like a smart move as both teams are primed to find the back of the net.

That is how our model reads Bologna v Inter Milan. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article