Here are our NFL picks for Monday 31 August 2026. Our model likes 7 bets here. The one it likes most is Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate, priced at -2500 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-2500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Carolina Panthers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Ladd McConkey (LAC) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-2000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ladd McConkey (LAC) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -2000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Parker Washington (JAX) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-833)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Parker Washington (JAX) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -833 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Woody Marks (HOU) Over 9.5 Player rush yds alternate (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Houston Texans play Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Woody Marks (HOU) Over 9.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -1429 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
DK Metcalf (PIT) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Steelers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is DK Metcalf (PIT) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -1429 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kyren Williams (LA) Over 19.5 Player rush yds alternate (-3333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play San Francisco 49ers in the NFL on Friday 11 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kyren Williams (LA) Over 19.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -3333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Quentin Johnston (LAC) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Quentin Johnston (LAC) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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