Here are our NBA picks for Thursday 22 October 2026. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 9.5 Assists, priced at -250 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 9.5 Assists (-250)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Lakers play Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Thursday 22 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 9.5 Assists. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Precious Achiuwa (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points (-385)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Clippers play Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Thursday 22 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Precious Achiuwa (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 28.5 Points (-357)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Lakers play Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Thursday 22 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 28.5 Points. It was priced at -357 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 19.5 Points (-233)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Philadelphia 76ers play Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA on Thursday 22 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 19.5 Points. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sandro Mamukelashvili (Toronto Raptors) Under 12.5 Points (-192)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Lakers play Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Thursday 22 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sandro Mamukelashvili (Toronto Raptors) Under 12.5 Points. It was priced at -192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NBA card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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