Zay Flowers (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+215)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the provided data, betting on Zay Flowers to score a touchdown at any time during the Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers game seems unfavorable. Flowers has consistently underperformed in recent games, with his overall hit rate at just 8/47. His performance at home games is equally underwhelming, with a hit rate of 4/25. Moreover, Flowers' performance against the Steelers is weak. His overall hit rate against Pittsburgh is just 1/3, and he hasn't scored a touchdown at home against the Steelers. Currently, he has no hit streak against the Steelers, neither at home nor away. His recent performance continues this downward trend, with zero touchdowns in the last 5 and 10 games. Although the model edge is 0.184883509056348, it may not be significant enough to override Flowers' poor performance. Therefore, the data suggests that betting on Flowers to score a touchdown at any time may not be a wise decision.

Mark Andrews (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the provided data, betting on Mark Andrews to score a touchdown at any time during the Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers game is not statistically promising. Andrews has not been successful in scoring a touchdown in his last 5 and 10 overall appearances, as well as at home. His hit rate against Pittsburgh is also low, with only 1 touchdown in his last 5 and 10 games against them. Despite the model showing a slight edge of 0.151, the recent performance and trends do not support a high probability of success. His current hit streak is zero, indicating he hasn't scored in his last game. Although his hit rate against Pittsburgh at home is 50%, this is based on a limited sample size of only 2 games. Therefore, it's crucial to consider the broader trends and recent performance, which suggest a lower likelihood of Andrews scoring a touchdown.

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers : Under 42.5 Total Points (-102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

A bet on Under 42.5 in the 'totals' market for this game appears to be a sound decision given the recent performance of both teams. The home team's last five games have seen them score an average of 23 points, while conceding 16.6 points. The away team, on the other hand, has scored an average of 21.2 points and conceded 22.8 points in their last five games. These statistics suggest a low-scoring game, as the total combined score from both teams in recent games falls under the 42.5 point line. Furthermore, both teams have struggled in the area of pass EPA, which measures the effectiveness of passing plays. The home team's pass EPA stands at -5.47, while the away team's is even worse at -5.53. This could mean both teams struggle to make significant gains through the air, which could limit the overall score. Finally, each team's turnover differential in recent games

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