On Thursday 17 September 2026, Atlanta Dream play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For the Connecticut Sun to cover the spread, they need to keep the game within 13.5 points against the Atlanta Dream. The Sun have been competitive lately, and our numbers suggest they might lose by about 10 points, which is close enough to give them a good shot at covering the spread. The Sun also have a slight advantage in overall performance, despite the travel distance being a bit more than the Dream's. The main risk here is the Dream playing at home, where they can really feed off their crowd. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 170.5 Total Points (-109)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
The bet on under 170.5 total points offers a solid chance because our numbers suggest the combined score will be around 166.1. Both teams have been pretty close in scoring lately, and with a travel distance favoring Atlanta, they should be well-rested. However, since the matchup is so tight, it could go either way. Keep an eye on how both teams perform early on, as that might set the tone for scoring. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 31.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Angel Reese has been on a tear lately, scoring nearly 20 points per game and making more field goals than usual. She's also contributing with assists and has been grabbing rebounds pretty well. The bet on her to score over 31.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists seems solid, especially since she's been playing strong. The risk here is that the game could be close, and the defenses might tighten up, which can limit scoring chances. Still, Reese has shown she can step up, making this a fun pick. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Jordin Canada is facing some tough defense from the Connecticut Sun, which might make it hard for her to rack up assists. In her recent games, she has been getting fewer assists than usual, averaging just under 3. This matchup could be a challenge for her since the Sun are known for their strong defensive plays, which could limit her chances to set up her teammates. Betting on Canada to have under 6.5 assists feels like a smart move here. While the odds are close to even, the Sun's defense could really put a dent in her numbers. Just keep in mind that she might surprise us, but based on the trends, it looks like a solid bet. It was priced at +107 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.70 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rhyne Howard Over 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-106)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Rhyne Howard has been scoring and contributing well lately, making this a good chance for her to hit over 25.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. She's been averaging a bit below her typical free throw attempts and assists, but her overall play has been solid. The game is at home, which usually gives players a boost. The only real risk is that both teams are closely matched, so every point matters. Still, Howard's talent and recent form suggest she can reach this total. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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