On Sunday 23 August 2026, Anthony Wint takes on Terrance Chatman in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 0.5 Total Rounds, priced at +165 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 0.5 Total Rounds (+165)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

In the fight between Marcio Barbosa and Ryan Kuse, I like betting on less than half a round. Both fighters have a strong chance to end the match quickly, as Barbosa is known for his striking and Kuse can surprise with quick finishes. Given their styles, this could be a fast-paced fight with one of them getting knocked out or submitted early. While it's always tough to predict exactly how a fight will go, this pick has a decent chance, making it a fun bet to consider. It was priced at +165 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Terrance Chatman +3.5 on the Line (+500)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

Terrance Chatman is going up against Anthony Wint in a fight where styles matter a lot. Chatman is a strong striker, and he needs to keep the fight standing to use his skills. Wint might try to take him down and control the pace. Betting on Chatman with a 3.5 point spread means you're hoping he can either win or keep the fight close enough to cover that spread. This bet is a bit of a long shot, but if Chatman can land big hits and stay on his feet, he has a decent chance to make it happen. It was priced at +500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $60 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Anthony Hernandez: last five L-W-W-W-W, dropped the last 1, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 183 days since the last fight
  • Carli Judice: last five W-W-W-L-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 183 days since the last fight
  • Chris Padilla: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 288 days since the last fight
  • Elise Reed: last five L-W-L-W-L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 463 days since the last fight
  • Gauge Young: last five W-W-L-L, on a 2-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 127 days since the last fight
  • Gregory Rodrigues: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 28% of career wins came by knockout, 169 days since the last fight
  • Jackson McVey: last five W-L-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 120 days since the last fight
  • Jamall Emmers: last five W-W-L-W-L, on a 2-fight win streak, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 288 days since the last fight
  • Jeisla Chaves: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 78 days since the last fight
  • Kennedy Nzechukwu: last five L-W-W-L-L, dropped the last 1, 33% of career wins came by knockout, 407 days since the last fight
  • Lerryan Douglas: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 148 days since the last fight
  • MarQuel Mederos: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 442 days since the last fight
  • Mason Jones: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 155 days since the last fight
  • Nasrat Haqparast: last five L-W-W-W-W, dropped the last 1, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 302 days since the last fight
  • Reinier de Ridder: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 169 days since the last fight
  • Roman Dolidze: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 155 days since the last fight
  • Shamil Gaziev: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 113 days since the last fight
  • Shanelle Dyer: last five W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 155 days since the last fight
  • Wes Schultz: last five W-L-W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 113 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Anthony Wint v Terrance Chatman. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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