Terry McLaurin (WAS) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+230)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data presents both pros and cons for betting on Terry McLaurin to score a touchdown anytime during the Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles game. On one hand, McLaurin hasn't had a great recent run, failing to score a touchdown in his last 5 overall or home games. However, when looking specifically at his performance against the Eagles, he has a much stronger track record, scoring in 2 out of his last 3 games against them, both of which were at home. This is supported by the model edge of 0.199, indicating a nearly 20% greater chance of success compared to the market odds. McLaurin also has a current hit streak of 1 against the Eagles, and a streak of 2 at home against them. Therefore, while recent performance might be discouraging, his history against the Eagles, particularly at home, provides a strong rationale for the bet.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (WAS) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+190)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Chris Rodriguez Jr. to score a touchdown at any time during the Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles game is a calculated decision based on his recent performance and hit rates. Over his last five games, Rodriguez Jr. has been a consistent scorer, hitting the end zone multiple times. This consistency translates to a high hit rate, which increases the likelihood of him scoring a touchdown in this game. Additionally, the model edge of 0.157402928088976 suggests a strong statistical advantage for this particular bet. This figure implies that the model's predicted probability of Rodriguez Jr. scoring is 15.74% higher than the implied probability based on the odds. Consequently, statistics and recent performance data indicate that betting on Chris Rodriguez Jr. to score a touchdown at any time during this game is a well-founded choice.

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles : NA +6.5 Point Spread (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Washington Commanders with a 6.5 point spread is supported by the team's recent performance relative to their opponent. Despite having a below-par record of 1-4 in their last five games, the Commanders have shown a strong defensive performance, particularly in their away games. This is evidenced by their away overall EPA against of -8.55, and their away pass EPA against of -9.68, indicating a strong ability to limit opponents' scoring. On the offensive front, although their EPA for is negative, their total yards for in the last 5 games, both overall and away, are 336 and 339.6 respectively, which are comparable to their opponents' yardage. Additionally, their L5 record against their current opponent is promising at 4-1, indicating they have historically performed well against this team. Considering these factors, betting on Washington Commanders with a 6.5 spread appears to be a statistically sound choice.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro