On Wednesday 14 October 2026, Valencia play Athletic Bilbao in La Liga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 8.5 Total Corners, priced at -189 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Valencia hosts Athletic Bilbao, the corner count could see a significant uptick. Valencia’s recent matches have averaged a hefty 11.8 shots per game, suggesting they’re pressing effectively in the final third. Their home games have been a whirlwind, with opponents averaging over two goals per outing, which typically leads to more corner opportunities as teams scramble to defend. On the flip side, Bilbao has also been active, averaging 15.2 shots in their last five games. Their attacking style, coupled with Valencia's tendency to concede corners, sets the stage for a spirited contest. Given both teams' knack for getting forward and the recent history showing an inclination towards corners when they meet, betting on over 8.5 corners feels like a strong play. Expect a game bustling with action and corner flags waving.
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao: Valencia +0.75 Goal Handicap (-222)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Valencia prepares to face Athletic Bilbao, recent trends suggest a promising tilt in favor of the home side. Valencia's record against Bilbao in their last five encounters stands at an impressive 3-0-2, indicating they can compete against this opponent. Although their recent form at home has seen them struggle — only one win in the last five — they’ve been battling hard, averaging over 15 shots per game. Bilbao, meanwhile, has been effective but less consistent, especially away, where they've conceded an average of two goals. With Valencia's attacking stats hinting at a revival, you can see them pushing for a decisive victory. Given the historical head-to-head advantage and the need for Valencia to regain form, backing them with a 0.75 handicap feels like the smart play here. Expect a gritty performance from Valencia as they aim to turn around their home fortunes.
That is how our model reads Valencia v Athletic Bilbao. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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