On Friday 18 September 2026, Toronto Tempo play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Toronto Tempo +18.5 on the Line, priced at -208 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Toronto Tempo +18.5 on the Line (-208)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
The Toronto Tempo have struggled recently, but they're getting a hefty +18.5 points against the Indiana Fever. Despite their recent form, our numbers see them as a strong favorite in this matchup. The Fever are not blowing teams out, and our model suggests the final margin could be much closer than expected. However, the Tempo's -11.02 rating shows they can be outscored significantly. With a long travel distance of over 2300 kilometers for the Fever, fatigue might play a role too. This could be a good chance for Toronto to keep it within that spread. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 199.5 Total Points (-370)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
At the Coca-Cola Coliseum, the Toronto Tempo are struggling, having won just 1 of their last 10 games and typically losing by over 12 points in their recent matchups. They don't do well at forcing turnovers either, managing to create them less often than their opponents. The Indiana Fever also have their own issues, allowing over 33 rebounds per game. With both teams not scoring much lately and our numbers predicting a combined total of around 165, betting on under 199.5 points seems smart. It was priced at -370 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Sophie Cunningham has been struggling lately, and the Toronto Tempo have only won once in their last ten games. They're averaging a tough time on the court, coming in about 12 points behind in their recent matchups. This means Cunningham might not get the chances she needs to score. On the flip side, the Indiana Fever have been doing well, winning seven of their last ten games and coming out ahead by about 6 points. They allow a decent number of three-point attempts, but with Cunningham's recent form, the risk is real that she won't hit her scoring mark tonight. Taking the under on 5.5 points seems like a smart move given the matchup. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Caitlin Clark Over 36.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The odds for Caitlin Clark to score over 36.5 points, rebounds, and assists look promising. She's been in solid form, racking up an average of almost four three-pointers lately, which helps boost her overall stats. Plus, her recent plus-minus rating shows she's impactful on the court. However, one risk is that she's been making slightly fewer free throws than usual. Still, with her strong offensive skills, this bet has a good chance of hitting. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Lexie Hull Under 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (-112)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Lexie Hull has struggled lately, and the Toronto Tempo have not been in great form, winning just 1 of their last 10 games. They are consistently behind by a lot, averaging over 12 points less in their recent matches. On the other hand, the Indiana Fever are doing well, winning 7 of their last 10 games and coming out ahead by over 6 points in their last 12. Given these trends, betting on Lexie Hull to make under 0.5 three-pointers feels like a solid choice. The Tempo's tough times may limit their scoring opportunities, and Hull hasn't been finding her rhythm from behind the arc. The most concrete risk here is how close the teams are playing; a sudden change in momentum could swing things unexpectedly. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Toronto Tempo v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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