On Friday 18 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +6.5 on the Line, priced at -105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

New York Liberty +6.5 on the Line (-105)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx have been playing well, but the New York Liberty are really tough to beat. They have a solid scoring ability and have been keeping games close, which makes this matchup interesting. The Lynx might be favored at home, but the Liberty have a good chance to stay within the spread of 6.5 points. With the matchup being so close, betting on the Liberty to cover the spread feels like a smart choice. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 182.5 Total Points (-204)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx have been playing really well, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They tend to keep games low-scoring, and our numbers suggest the total points in this matchup against the New York Liberty will likely be around 162.9. Both teams have shown they can struggle to find the basket at times, with the Lynx allowing quite a few three-point attempts but still keeping scores down. A solid risk here is that the Liberty can force turnovers, which could lead to some easy points. Still, I think betting on under 182.5 points is a good call. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Leonie Fiebich Over 3.5 Rebounds (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Leonie Fiebich has been showing some solid play lately, especially with her rebounding. The numbers suggest she's likely to grab over 3.5 rebounds in this matchup against the New York Liberty. She's been pulling down around 2 offensive rebounds in recent games, which is better than usual. While the Liberty can be tough, Fiebich's recent form gives her a good shot at hitting this number. Just keep in mind, the teams are pretty evenly matched lately, which could make things a bit tricky. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Natasha Howard Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

The odds for Natasha Howard to get over 9.5 rebounds and assists look promising. Both the Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty have been playing well lately, with each team winning seven of their last ten games. Howard is a key player, and with the Lynx allowing a fair number of shot attempts, she should have plenty of chances to rack up stats. However, it's worth noting that this matchup is pretty tight, so there's a solid chance it could go either way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 Points and Assists (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Breanna Stewart needs to score points and give assists, but we're betting she will keep it under 22.5 tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. Lately, she has been making fewer field goals than usual, averaging about six instead of a typical six and a half. Plus, her team tends to struggle with turnovers, which could limit her chances to rack up assists. The Lynx play solid defense, which can make it tough for Stewart to shine. Though she's had some success against them, the numbers suggest she might not hit her usual mark tonight. Keep an eye on the game, as it could go either way. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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