On Friday 18 September 2026, Toronto Tempo play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Toronto Tempo +11.5 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Toronto Tempo +11.5 on the Line (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo has been struggling a bit lately, but they still have a good chance to keep this game close against the Indiana Fever. Our numbers suggest that Toronto could lose by around 6 points, which means getting 11.5 points is a nice cushion. Plus, they are playing at home, which often gives teams a boost. The Fever are not a powerhouse either, and both teams have similar win rates. The main risk here is that Indiana could pull ahead and take control of the game. Still, with the spread being so generous, it makes sense to back the Tempo to cover. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 204.5 Total Points (-417)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Toronto Tempo and Indiana Fever face off at Coca-Cola Coliseum, and both teams are struggling with scoring lately. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 165 points, which is well below the line set for this game. The Tempo has a tough travel distance advantage, having played more recently, while the Fever's scoring has dipped significantly. The biggest risk is that these teams are closely matched in record, so surprises can happen. Still, we think the total will stay under 204.5 based on their current form. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Aliyah Boston has been really active lately, making a lot of free throws and grabbing steals, which shows she's playing well. We're betting on her to score over 16.5 points against the Indiana Fever. She's been consistent with her scoring and can take advantage of the Fever's defense. The matchup is pretty tight, so while she has a good chance to hit that point total, the Fever could put up a strong fight. It's a close call, but Boston's recent form makes this bet worth a shot. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kelsey Mitchell has been showing some great playmaking lately, averaging over 5 assists in her recent games. This is well above the usual mark for her, and it looks like she's finding her teammates in the right spots to score. The Toronto Tempo's defense has been a bit shaky, which could give her plenty of chances to dish out assists. While the Indiana Fever has been improving, they still face a tough matchup against the Tempo. The potential risk here is that the game could be closer than expected, limiting scoring opportunities. Still, we feel good about Kelsey Mitchell going over 2.5 assists in this game. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Caitlin Clark Over 32.5 Points and Assists (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Caitlin Clark's points and assists total is set at over 32.5, and the odds are decent. Our numbers suggest she has a good chance to exceed this mark. Recently, she's been making a solid number of three-point shots and getting involved in plays. She's also been effective at creating scoring opportunities for herself and her teammates. However, the Indiana Fever can be tough on defense, so that is a concrete risk here. Still, if Clark keeps up her current form, she should be able to reach or surpass this total. It could be an exciting night for fans of both teams! It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Toronto Tempo v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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