Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Sunday 07/13 (Kevin Gausman Highlights): Best Value Bets

The bet on Kevin Gausman for Under 18.5 in the Pitcher Outs Recorded market is a statistically sound choice given his recent performance data. His last five overall outs average (18.8) and last five away outs average (18.2) both fall just under the line. Moreover, his average pitches both overall and away (94.2 and 88.6 respectively) are relatively low, suggesting that he may not pitch long enough to record more than 18.5 outs. Additionally, his current hit streaks are relatively low, at 2 overall and 1 away, indicating a potential struggle in maintaining consistent performance. Lastly, despite his outs average against the Athletics being high, it's important to consider that past performances aren't always indicative of future outcomes. Therefore, the under bet appears to be the more statistically viable option.

Kevin Gausman (TOR) Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-213)

Kevin Gausman's under 18.5 outs bet is based on his recent performance data. His last five overall games show an average of 18.8 outs, which is just above the line, but his last five away games average drops to 18.2 outs, below the line. Also, his average pitches thrown in away games is 88.6, which is lower compared to his overall average of 94.2 pitches. This suggests that he might be less effective when playing away from home. Additionally, Gausman's current hit streak is lower in away games, indicating a possible dip in his performance. Therefore, based on these stats, it's reasonable to expect Gausman to record under 18.5 outs in the upcoming game against Oakland Athletics.

Ernie Clement (TOR) Under 1.5 Hits (-196)

Betting on Ernie Clement to score under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is statistically sound. Clement's last five games show an average of just 0.8 overall hits and 1 away hit, both falling below the line of 1.5. His performance against the Oakland Athletics also supports this bet, averaging only 1 hit in the last five games against the team. Moreover, his plate appearances are relatively low, averaging 2.4 overall and 2 on away games, which limits his opportunities to hit. Despite a current hit streak, the low averages suggest that it's unlikely for Clement to score over 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. Therefore, the under 1.5 bet for Ernie Clement is a statistically informed choice.

Xavier Edwards (MIA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-323)

The bet on Xavier Edwards for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Edwards' average stolen base count over the last five games, whether overall, away, or against the Orioles, has been less than 0.5. His overall and away game stolen base averages are zero, indicating a lack of successful steal attempts. Even when facing the Orioles, his average stolen base count is only 0.3. This trend suggests that Edwards is unlikely to register a stolen base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, Edwards has no caught stealing (Cs) instances in his recent games, suggesting a conservative base-running strategy. Therefore, betting under 0.5 stolen bases for Edwards is statistically justified.

Shota Imanaga (CHC) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-333)

The bet on Shota Imanaga for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a strong choice given his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Imanaga has averaged 5 strikeouts per game, well over the 3.5 line. This performance is consistent whether he's playing at home or away, with his away average even slightly higher at 5.2. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's consistently on the mound long enough to achieve high strikeout numbers. Furthermore, Imanaga is currently on a hit streak both overall and away, indicating a strong, consistent performance. These statistics suggest that Imanaga is likely to achieve over 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the New York Yankees.