Today's Top EPL Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Friday 10/23

As Coventry City gears up to host Fulham, all eyes should be on Joel Latibeaudiere. Despite averaging just 0.2 shots in his last five games, he’s found some form at home, boosting his average to 0.4. With Coventry's attacking play likely to create openings against a Fulham side known for their defensive lapses, Latibeaudiere could seize the moment. He’s already hit the mark in two of his last five home games, showcasing a growing confidence in his approach play. At home, the atmosphere can elevate a player’s performance, and Latibeaudiere’s current hit streak adds an element of momentum. Aiming for over 0.5 shots feels not just reasonable, but like an opportunity to ride the wave of home advantage. Keep your eyes peeled; he could be the dark horse on Saturday!

Joel Latibeaudiere (Coventry City) Over 1.5 Shots (+1200)

As Coventry City prepares to host Fulham, all eyes will be on Joel Latibeaudiere, and for good reason. While his recent tally of shots might seem modest—averaging just 0.2 overall and 0.4 at home—Latibeaudiere's ability to find space could be the key to unlocking a promising performance on Saturday. With Coventry's attacking strategy likely pushing them forward, the home advantage could see him take on more responsibilities. Plus, he’s currently on a hit streak at home, indicating a growing comfort level in front of the net. Fulham's defense has been known to leave gaps, and if Latibeaudiere can exploit those, hitting over 1.5 shots becomes a real possibility. The risk is minimal considering his recent form suggests he could surprise. It's a classic case of a player primed for breakout potential, making this bet one worth considering.

James Tarkowski (Everton) Over 0.5 Assists (+2200)

As Everton heads to the Emirates to face Arsenal, keep an eye on James Tarkowski for the player assists market. While Tarkowski's recent form might not scream "playmaker," his role as a central defender often finds him in positions to make crucial passes from the back, especially against a high-pressing Arsenal side. He’s averaged 0.2 assists over his last five outings, but the narrative shifts when he plays away – he’s shown flashes of creativity that could catch the Gunners off-guard. With Arsenal likely dominating possession, Tarkowski may find himself in the thick of things, especially on counter-attacks. The odds favor a surprise assist, and with Everton needing to break down Arsenal's defense, the chances for Tarkowski to contribute in attack are ripe. At this price, betting on him to register at least one assist feels like a clever play in a match that promises to be intense.

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) Yes To Be Carded (+1600)

As Arsenal prepares to clash with Everton, all eyes will be on Eberechi Eze, a player who, despite his recent clean slate, could just find himself in the bookies' sights. While he may boast a spotless record of zero yellows in his last five outings, the intensity of this match could change the narrative. Arsenal’s high-pressure game often leads to frantic moments, especially against a tenacious Everton side. Eze's role puts him in the heart of the action, where he’s likely to engage in tackles and confrontations—a recipe for accumulating cautions. The Gunners will press aggressively, pushing Eze into situations where he might have to make desperate challenges. Given the unpredictable nature of Premier League games, a card for Eze feels like a calculated risk worth taking, especially when considering the match's context and the stakes involved.

Takehiro Tomiyasu (Crystal Palace) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+2500)

As Crystal Palace gears up to face Newcastle United, there’s an intriguing opportunity to consider Takehiro Tomiyasu as an anytime goalscorer. While his recent form shows a modest average of just 0.2 goals per home game, his presence in the attacking setup cannot be overlooked. With Palace likely to see a fair bit of possession, the Japanese defender’s forays forward could create a golden chance. Let’s not forget that at home, he averages 1.2 shots per game, so he’s definitely getting involved in the attack. When you combine that attacking intent with the fact that Newcastle's defense can be suspect at times, particularly from set-pieces, Tomiyasu could just find himself in the right place at the right time. At odds as high as 26, there’s value here for a player who, although not a regular scorer, possesses the ability to surprise when it counts most.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.