On Saturday 24 October 2026, Tottenham Hotspur play Crystal Palace in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +1 Goal Handicap, priced at -141 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Tottenham Hotspur prepares to face Crystal Palace, the Eagles have shown resilience that makes them an appealing bet on the alternate handicap. Tottenham's recent form at home is shaky, with just one win in their last five and an average of only 1.2 goals scored. Meanwhile, Crystal Palace is quietly gaining momentum, averaging 1.6 goals in their last five outings, despite a tougher run against stronger opponents. Moreover, Palace has a solid record against Spurs, going 3-0-2 in their last five meetings, which underscores their ability to compete. With Spurs' xG stats revealing a concerning lack of scoring opportunities, it's clear they're struggling to convert chances. Expect Crystal Palace to capitalize on Tottenham's vulnerabilities, making the handicap bet on Palace not just plausible, but a smart play in this London derby.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: Under 4.5 Total Goals (-500)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Tottenham Hotspur prepares to host Crystal Palace, an intriguing narrative unfolds-one that points towards a low-scoring affair. Tottenham's recent form has been underwhelming, averaging just 1.2 goals at home in their last five matches, while conceding an equal number. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, has struggled to find the net away from home, notching only 1 goal per game lately. Both teams have seen their expected goals (xG) stats dwindle, which suggests a lack of clear-cut chances being converted. Spurs' xG numbers have stagnated recently, and Palace's away woes only compound the issue. Historically, clashes between these two sides have often been tight contests, with their last five meetings producing fewer than five goals in total. Given the stakes and both teams' recent tendencies, betting on under 4.5 goals feels like a savvy play for this matchup.
That is how our model reads Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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