Today's Top AFL Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Monday 07/13 (Callum Wilkie Highlights): Data-Driven Insights

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal in the AFL, you want someone who's been in the thick of the action, creating opportunities and hitting the scoreboard. Brodie Kemp fits the bill perfectly. In his last five away games, Kemp has been averaging 1.4 goals, with a solid 50.0% goal accuracy. His involvement in setting up plays is evident with an average of 5.8 score involvements and 3.2 marks inside 50. Facing Collingwood, he's likely to capitalize on his form, especially with an average of 3.6 shots at goal per game. With a hit streak of 4 in away games, the stats paint a picture of a player ready to make his mark. So, when the opportunity arises to back Kemp to kick one through the big sticks, it's a bet worth taking.

Jack Crisp (Collingwood) Over 16.5 Disposals (-233)

When it comes to dependable midfielders, Jack Crisp stands out like a beacon in the night. With an average of 20 disposals in his last five home games, he's a possession magnet. In contests, his average of 8.2 contested possessions showcases his ability to win the tough ball. Plus, with a disposal efficiency of 77.2%, he doesn't waste a touch. Facing Carlton, a team he's historically averaged 21 disposals against, the stage is set for Crisp to shine. His recent form is stellar, hitting his disposal line in 6 consecutive home games. With his current hit rate and the model predicting him to exceed 21 disposals, the Over 16.5 disposal line seems like a gift from the footy gods. Expect Crisp to feast on the Blues and rack up the possessions at the hallowed MCG.

Mitch Owens (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-256)

When it comes to backing Mitch Owens to snag over 0.5 goals in the upcoming clash against Geelong, the numbers paint a picture of a player in fine form. Owens has been on fire in his last five away games, averaging an impressive 1.6 goals per outing. His deadly accuracy in front of the big sticks, hitting the target 62.0% of the time, makes him a genuine scoring threat. With an average of 2.8 shots on goal and 6.6 score involvements per game, Owens is constantly in the thick of the action. Facing Geelong, where he has historically bagged 0.7 goals per game, the stage is set for Owens to continue his scoring spree. Backing him to split the middle at least once is a solid bet backed by his recent hot streak and consistent goal-scoring record.

Will Hayward (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-238)

When it comes to backing Will Hayward to snag over 0.5 goals in the upcoming clash against Collingwood, the numbers paint a promising picture. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five away games, Hayward's goal-scoring prowess is on full display. His sharp goal accuracy of 63.3% shows he knows how to split the big sticks when the pressure is on. Add in his consistent involvement in the forward plays with an average of 3.4 score involvements per game, and it's clear he's a key threat in the Blues' attacking arsenal. Facing Collingwood, where he has averaged 0.7 goals in their last five encounters, Hayward is poised to capitalize on the opportunities and make an impact on the scoreboard. Betting on Hayward to go over 0.5 goals is a smart play given his recent form and historical performances against the Magpies.

Jack Buller (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Goals (-303)

Looking at Jack Buller's recent form, it's clear he's been honing his goal-scoring prowess, especially in front of the home crowd. In his last five home games, Buller has been a consistent threat in the forward line, averaging 2.6 shots at goal per game and finding the big sticks with an impressive goal accuracy of 46.7%. His ability to impact the scoreboard is further highlighted by his average of 1 goal per game in those recent home fixtures. Facing Carlton at the MCG, a venue where he feels right at home, Buller is poised to capitalize on his strong performances. With the statistical edge pointing towards him snagging at least one goal, betting on Buller to score over 0.5 goals is a compelling choice. Backing Buller to split the middle and contribute to Collingwood's tally seems like a solid play for this matchup.