Today's Tennis Best Bets - Our Top 2 Picks

Here are our Tennis picks for Friday 25 September 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Mirra Andreeva to win the match, priced at +800 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez: Mirra Andreeva to win the match (+800)

Mirra Andreeva faces Leylah Fernandez at Singapore Open on Friday 25 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Mirra Andreeva wins the match. It was priced at +800 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $90 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. For the match between Mirra Andreeva and Leylah Fernandez, the value pick is Mirra Andreeva at odds of 9. Andreeva boasts a strong recent form with an impressive 80% win rate in her last five matches, indicating solid momentum heading into this tournament. In contrast, Fernandez's performance metrics against her recent opponents reveal vulnerability, particularly with a 71% first serve percentage against her, suggesting she may struggle under pressure. Andreeva's ability to capitalize on break points is critical, as evidenced by her opponent's 88% BP save rate, indicating they may falter in crucial moments. Additionally, with recent stats showing her high second serve points won at 51%, Andreeva could exploit Fernandez's weaknesses effectively.

Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson: Talia Gibson to win the match (+192)

Maria Sakkari faces Talia Gibson at Singapore Open on Friday 25 September 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Talia Gibson wins the match. It was priced at +192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $29.20 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. Talia Gibson presents significant value at +192 against Maria Sakkari due to her recent form and serving metrics. Despite both players having a win rate of 40% in their last five matches, Gibson's performance on this surface indicates she has a 72% first-serve percentage with a solid 64.8% of first points won. Her second-serve efficacy is also commendable at 47.6%, alongside a 62.5% break point save percentage. In contrast, Sakkari's metrics are less compelling, showing no serve data available for recent matches, which raises concerns about her current form and consistency. Gibson's recent serving prowess and pressure-handling ability make her a strong pick in this matchup.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.