Today's Serie A Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds

As Sevilla prepares to host Osasuna, the stage is set for a corner kick bonanza. Both teams have been involved in high-paced encounters lately, with Sevilla averaging an impressive 12.2 shots per game over their last five outings. While their own scoring has been lackluster, Osasuna's defensive frailties have resulted in them conceding 2 goals per game, suggesting Sevilla will be pushing hard for chances—likely leading to corner kicks. Moreover, Sevilla's home games have seen an average of 13.6 shots, coupled with 2.4 corners per match. This trend, paired with Osasuna's own tendency to engage in open play, sets the perfect backdrop for exceeding the 9.5 corner mark. With both teams needing to assert themselves in this competitive La Liga clash, expect the corner count to rise as they battle for supremacy. Betting on "Over 9.5" corners feels like a savvy play here.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace +1 Goal Handicap (-145)

As Tottenham Hotspur prepares to face Crystal Palace, recent form suggests a potential upset is brewing. Spurs have struggled at home, mustering just one win in their last five at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, averaging a modest 1.2 goals per match while conceding the same. In stark contrast, Crystal Palace has shown resilience, particularly in their recent encounters against Tottenham, notching up three wins in their last five face-offs. Despite their inconsistent away form, Palace's scoring average of 1.6 goals per game lends them a significant edge. Plus, the underlying stats tell a story of Spurs' defensive vulnerabilities; they’ve allowed 2.2 goals on average to opponents in their last five home matches. Given their historic dominance over Spurs and the current trends, backing Palace to cover a +1 handicap feels like a savvy move. Expect a tightly contested battle, but Palace might just emerge with the spoils.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace +0.75 Goal Handicap (-105)

As Tottenham Hotspur welcomes Crystal Palace, the recent form suggests an intriguing matchup. Spurs have struggled at home with just one win in their last five, averaging a meager 1.2 goals while conceding an equal amount. Their xG stats also tell a story of missed opportunities, with a strikingly low output. Palace, on the other hand, has shown resilience, particularly against Tottenham, boasting a favorable record in their last five encounters. They’ve averaged 1.6 goals in their last matches, and while they’ve faced tough opponents, their attacking prowess has kept them competitive. With Palace's recent away form looking more promising, a bet on them with a 0.75 handicap offers a cushion against a draw, tapping into the momentum they’ve built against a faltering Spurs side. Given the current trajectory of both teams, this bet feels like a smart play.

Sevilla vs CA Osasuna: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-104)

As Sevilla prepares to host CA Osasuna, the stage is set for a match that could see plenty of corner kicks. Sevilla's recent home form has been a mixed bag, but one constant is their attacking intent, averaging 13.6 shots per game at home and generating around 2.4 corners. Despite a shaky overall record, they’re known for pushing forward, especially against teams that traditionally defend deep like Osasuna. Osasuna, on the other hand, has shown a tendency to absorb pressure, often leading to more corner opportunities for their opponents. With Sevilla’s average home goals against standing at 1.6, it’s clear they’re likely to need to rely on a barrage of attacking play, leading to even more corner situations. Given these dynamics, betting on over 8.5 corners feels not just reasonable, but almost inevitable. Expect a high-paced game where corners could fly as both teams battle for dominance.

RC Lens vs Paris FC: RC Lens +0 Goal Handicap (-135)

As RC Lens prepares to host Paris FC, the momentum is firmly on the home side's shoulders. Lens has been a fortress this season, leveraging strong offensive displays and a solid home record. Looking at the stats, Paris FC’s xG numbers are concerning. With just 1.4 goals conceded per game recently, they face an uphill battle against Lens, who have been known to capitalize on defensive lapses. Lens’ attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals in their last five, puts them in a prime position to dictate the game. Combine this with a robust defensive setup, and it’s clear that a handicap bet on Lens at 0 holds strong value, especially with their home advantage in full swing. Expect them to shine in front of their fans!

That is the model's read on today's Serie A card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.