South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights Prediction & Picks (Mat Croker Key Factor): Full Match Breakdown & Bets

On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is South Sydney Rabbitohs -7.5 Line. On this line South Sydney Rabbitohs give up 7.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 7.5. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Mat Croker to Score a Try (+1400)

On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Mat Croker Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Mat Croker scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $150 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $150 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads South Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.