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Serie A

Serie A predictions for Sunday, October 11: 5 matches

5 Serie A matches on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Not both teams to score, a LEAN-confidence call.

By Javier Morales · Published Oct 10, 12:00 AM UK · Updated Oct 10, 4:03 PM UK

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Como vs AS Roma

Sun Oct 11, 11:30 AM UK
Our pick: Como -0.25 (a split line: some results give back part of your stake)+115

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Como prepares to host AS Roma, they’re riding a wave of solid form at home, boasting a 3-1-1 record in their last five outings.

Full Como vs AS Roma preview →

Lazio vs Monza

Sun Oct 11, 2:00 PM UK
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals-115

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Lazio gears up to host Monza, the stage is set for a goal-fest that could easily see over 2.5 goals.

Full Lazio vs Monza preview →

Lecce vs Bologna

Sun Oct 11, 2:00 PM UK
Bologna at Lecce · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Lecce vs Bologna preview →

Sassuolo vs AC Milan

Sun Oct 11, 5:00 PM UK
AC Milan at Sassuolo · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Sassuolo vs AC Milan preview →

Cagliari vs Juventus

Sun Oct 11, 7:45 PM UK
Top pick: Not both teams to score-112

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

As Cagliari prepares to host Juventus, the trends indicate a likely struggle for goals.

Full Cagliari vs Juventus preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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