On Sunday 4 October 2026, Roman Kopylov takes on Ateba Gautier in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 1.5 Total Rounds, priced at +149 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 1.5 Total Rounds (+149)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Roman Kopylov has a reputation for finishing fights early, while Ateba Gautier is known for his aggressive style. When these two step into the octagon, fans can expect a wild start. Our numbers suggest they might not even reach the halfway point of the second round, so betting on Under 1.5 rounds makes sense here. Both fighters have a tendency to go for the knockout, which could lead to a quick finish. However, Gautier's durability could keep him in the fight longer than expected. Still, the strong likelihood of an early end makes this bet worth a shot. It was priced at +149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Roman Kopylov to Win (+202)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Roman Kopylov needs to showcase his striking skills to win against Ateba Gautier tonight. Kopylov has a good chance, especially since he can be a strong finisher. While both fighters are closely matched, Kopylov's durability gives him a slight advantage in this bout. It's important to note that Gautier is tough and can definitely hold his own. The fight could easily go either way, making it a bit of a gamble. Still, Kopylov's ability to connect and finish fights makes him a solid pick here. It was priced at +202 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30.20 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
The tale of the tape:
- Roman Kopylov: last five W-L-L-W-W, won the last fight, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 148 days since the last fight
- Ateba Gautier: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 6-fight win streak, 42% of career wins came by knockout, 148 days since the last fight
That is how our model reads Roman Kopylov v Ateba Gautier. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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