On Saturday 24 October 2026, Daniel Santos takes on Bolaji Oki in the UFC. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Daniel Santos -3.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Daniel Santos -3.5 on the Line (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Daniel Santos and Bolaji Oki both bring strong skills to the octagon, but Santos has a slight advantage in recent form. He's been solid lately, while Oki's durability might be a concern going into this fight. With both fighters being closely matched, Santos needs to use his striking to keep Oki at bay and control the pace. Taking Daniel Santos with a point spread of -3.5 seems like a smart move. Our numbers see this matchup as a tight contest, but Santos could pull away if he plays to his strengths. The biggest risk is how close these fighters are in skill, so it could go either way. Still, Santos has what it takes to cover that spread. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bolaji Oki to Win (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Bolaji Oki has been showing some solid skills lately, making him a strong contender in this fight against Daniel Santos. Oki's style leans towards striking, and if he can keep the fight on his feet, he might find some openings to land significant hits. Still, with Oki's recent performance and the odds at +110, it feels like a good chance to back him to win this fight. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 2.5 Total Rounds (+135)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Both Daniel Santos and Bolaji Oki have shown they can handle themselves in the cage. Santos has a striking style, while Oki often looks to grapple. This fight could go back and forth, with both fighters pushing to find their rhythm. It's likely they won't rush things and will be cautious in the early rounds. Betting on over 2.5 rounds seems smart because both fighters know how to pace themselves. However, there's a risk that they could end up finishing each other early, given how evenly matched they are. Still, with the potential for a tactical battle, this could stretch out longer than expected. It was priced at +135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Daniel Santos: last five L-W-W-W-W, lost the last fight, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 161 days since the last fight
  • Bolaji Oki: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 224 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Daniel Santos v Bolaji Oki. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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